The Milwaukee Brewers (35-30) and Cincinnati Reds (23-40) meet Friday at 6:40 p.m. ET to open a 3-game series at Great American Ball Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Brewers vs. Reds odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Milwaukee leads 4-2.
The Brewers dropped 2 of 3 to the Mets in a midweek series in New York. They are just 3-11 across their last 14 games.
The Reds are returning home after a 3-3 road trip that included stops in St. Louis and Arizona. The Cincinnati offense stumbled in a couple of those road games but has otherwise had a good month: the Reds own a robust .770 OPS in June.
Brewers at Reds projected starters
LHP Eric Lauer vs. RHP Hunter Greene
Lauer (5-2, 3.36 ERA) is tabbed for his 12th start of the season. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 through 61 2/3 IP.
- Coughed up 3 home runs and 8 runs in his last start (5 IP at Washington Saturday).
- Has struggled against Cincinnati the last three years (5.48 ERA since 2019).
Greene (3-7, 5.10 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 11.9 K/9 through 60 IP.
- Has allowed just 1R on 3 hits over his last 2 games (12 IP).
- Has been tough on lefty bats (.610 OPS allowed), which is a key against a left-leaning Milwaukee order.
Brewers at Reds odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 7:55 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Brewers -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Reds -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
- Run line (RL): Brewers -1.5 (+140) | Reds +1.5 (-175)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)
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Brewers at Reds picks and predictions
Prediction
Reds 5, Brewers 4
Money line
Greene yields a lot of fly-ball and barreled-up contact, and he has paid for it with an ERA over 5. But perhaps the price has been too steep alongside the rest of his electric skill set.
With a rested bullpen, BACK THE REDS (-110).
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Run line/Against the spread
Milwaukee does play a lot of 1-run games. Again, the Reds and the runs are a lean here, but PASS on any price north of -165.
Over/Under
In the Reds’ last 6 series openers, the Under has gone 5-0-1. And that would be the play here save for a warmed up, wind-out Great American Ball Park as a venue.
On the 9.5 total, strike if the price is right, say -105 or better. We’re going to LEAN UNDER 9.5 (-107) because Greene has been really good, and neither offense has been great.
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