Milwaukee Brewers at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Milwaukee Brewers at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Milwaukee Brewers (28-21) visit the Boston Red Sox (26-24) on Friday for the 1st game in a 3-game series. First pitch from Fenway Park is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET (Apple TV+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Brewers vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Brewers won 2 of 3 games last season

Milwaukee lost 1-0 to the Miami Marlins on Wednesday while failing to cover as a -125 road favorite. Held to only 4 hits, RHP Freddy Peralta (1 ER in 7 IP) was the tough-luck loser.

Boston has won 4 games in a row after taking down Tampa Bay 8-5 on Wednesday covering as a +131 road underdog while completing the series sweep. RF Wilyer Abreu and C Connor Wong led the way on offense with 2 RBIs each while RHP Brayan Bello allowed 3 ER in 6 innings to pick up the win.

Brewers at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Bryse Wilson vs. RHP Kutter Crawford

Wilson (2-1, 2.79 ERA) makes his 7th start and 13th appearance. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 3.72 BB/9 and 7.22 K/9 in 38 2/3 IP.

  • Has given up 2 ER or fewer in each of his 6 starts
  • Has allowed 12 ER and 6 HR while striking out 31 and walking 16

Crawford (2-2, 2.17 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 2.79 BB/9 and 8.84 K/9 in 58 IP.

  • Red Sox are 3-7 in his last 10 starts
  • Has allowed 2 ER or fewer in all but 2 starts.
  • Has given up 14 ER and 3 HR while striking out 57 and walking 18

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Brewers at Red Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:32 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Brewers +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Red Sox -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Brewers +1.5 (-175) | Red Sox -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Brewers at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 4, Brewers 3

Moneyline

BET RED SOX (-135).

Boston has won its last 4 games and has scored 5 or more runs in 6 of its last 7 games. It has allowed 3 or fewer runs in 3 of its last 4. Milwaukee has lost 3 of its last 4, all on the road, and has scored 2 or fewer runs in 2 of its last 3 while allowing 5 or more runs in 2 of its last 4.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There is minimal value on the run line in this matchup.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 9.5 (-105).

Both pitchers have demonstrated their abilities to limit runs in their previous outings this season. Both the Brewers and Red Sox have hit the Under in 2 of their last 3 games with the Brewers scoring 2 or fewer runs in 2 of their last 3 and the Red Sox holding opponents to 2 or fewer runs in 2 of their last 3.

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