The Atlanta Braves (51-53) host the Milwaukee Brewers (62-42) Saturday for the second game of their three-game series at Truist Park with the first pitch scheduled for 7:20 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Brewers vs. Braves odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Milwaukee rallied back from a 4-run deficit after the 1st inning to beat Atlanta 9-5 in the series opener Friday.
Season series: Tied 2-2.
RHP Brandon Woodruff makes his 21st start for the Brewers. Woodruff is 7-5 with a 2.14 ERA (126 IP, 30 ER), an MLB-best 0.84 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 this year.
- Last outing: Loss, 3-1, with 7 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 2 BB and 9 K Sunday against the Chicago White Sox.
- 2021 road splits: 4-4 with a 1.96 ERA (64 1/3 IP, 14 ER), 0.72 WHIP and 3.8 K/BB in 10 starts.
LHP Kyle Muller is Atlanta’s projected starter. Muller is 2-3 with a 2.55 ERA (24 2/3 IP, 7 ER), 1.14 WHIP, 4.7 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 across five starts and one relief appearance in his rookie season.
- Last outing: Win, 2-0, with 5 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 2 BB and 3 K Monday at the New York Mets.
MLB betting offers/promotions
BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.
- Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
- RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!
Brewers at Braves odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 3:17 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Brewers -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Braves +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
- Against the spread/ATS: Brewers -1.5 (+115) | Braves +1.5 (-140)
- Over/Under: 9 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Prediction
Brewers 5, Braves 2
Money line (ML)
BET the BREWERS (-140) because the Brew Crew’s lineup has been one of the most productive in baseball since the All-Star Game and they have won eight straight road games by at least 3 runs.
Also, the Brewers have a decisive edge in the pitching matchup as Woodruff is a Cy Young-caliber starter while Muller is in his rookie season and Milwaukee’s bullpen is more reliable than Atlanta’s.
Woodruff’s last start was Milwaukee’s only loss in its last seven games so I expect a motivated bounce-back effort out of him. Furthermore, the Brewers’ bullpen is seventh in xFIP while Atlanta’s ranks 20th in xFIP.
GIMME the BREWERS (-140) for 1 unit.
FANTASY BASEBALL: Serious about winning your league? Sign up for BaseballHQ.com to dominate the competition. Subscribe now!
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
PASS with a slight “lean” to the Brewers -1.5 (+115) because of Milwaukee’s dominance recently on the road. However, something is telling me to stay away. Maybe it’s because Muller is Atlanta’s fifth-ranked prospect with nasty stuff and a lot of upside.
Over/Under (O/U)
Slight “LEAN” to the UNDER 9 (-115) for a tiny wager as a “contrarian play” against a slight majority of the market that’s backing the Over.
In addition, the Brewers are 6-14 O/U in Woodruff starts and the Braves have played to the Under in four straight Muller starts.
PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!
Bet on this game now at BetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.
Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]