Michigan at Purdue odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Michigan Wolverines at Purdue Boilermakers odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets in a Big Ten battle.

The Michigan Wolverines (11-8, 5-4 Big Ten) visit Mackey Arena to take on the No. 3 Purdue Boilermakers (19-3, 8-3). Tip-off is scheduled for 2:30 p.m. ET (on FOX). Below, we look at the Michigan vs. Purdue odds and lines, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

The Boilermakers have been one of the more dominant teams in the Big Ten. They’ve won 7 of their last 8 games, covering the spread in 5 of them. While Purdue is just 5-6 against the spread (ATS) in conference play, Michigan is a Big Ten-worst 3-6 ATS against inner-conference competition.

Purdue is led by G Jaden Ivey, who averages 17.0 points, 5.1 rebounds, 3.0 assists and 1.1 steals per game. C Zach Edey, a 7-4 sophomore who averages 15.0 points, 7.5 rebounds and 1.2 blocks per game, is also a high-impact player.

Purdue will count on Edey to take on 7-1 C Hunter Dickinson, who leads Michigan in scoring (17.5 PPG) and rebounds (8.2 RPG). The Juwan Howard-coached Wolverines have been a disappointment this season, covering just 7 times in their 19 games.

Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Michigan at Purdue odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:05 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Michigan +340 (bet $100 to win $340) | Purdue -475 (bet $475 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Michigan +8.5 (-102) | Purdue -8.5 (-122)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 146.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Michigan at Purdue odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Purdue 80, Michigan 69

Money line

PASS.

Crazy things happen in Big Ten basketball, and I wouldn’t lay -475 on a favorite in a conference battle. It’s just not worth the risk.

Against the spread

BET PURDUE -8.5 (-122).

Purdue’s only time not covering in its last 4 outings was against Ohio State in an 81-78 victory Jan. 30. The Boilermakers were 11-point favorites against the 16th-ranked Buckeyes in a game they let slip away after leading by double digits most of the second half. Now, against a pitiful Wolverines team, the Boilers are only giving 8.5 points.

With Edey, Purdue should be able to neutralize Dickinson for a good chunk of the game.

Similarly, Ivey has been an all-out star this season and should be in store for a solid game against Michigan’s defense, one allowing 68.2 PPG, the 160th-most in the nation.

Michigan has covered just twice in its last 8. Lastly, Michigan is 2-5 ATS on the road this season.

TAKE THE BOILERMAKERS -8.5 (-122) to cover at home.

Over/Under

LEAN to the OVER 146.5 (-112).

Purdue averages 84.6 PPG, the fourth-most in the nation. Michigan averages 72.9 PPG. Expect a high-scoring game.

Michigan is 12-7 O/U. Purdue is 14-8 O/U. The Boilermakers are 8-2 O/U in their last 10. These teams score at a high level, and I expect them to do just that Saturday.

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