Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Miami Marlins (40-54) and Washington Nationals (44-49) play the second game of a three-game set Tuesday at Nationals Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Marlins vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Trevor Rogers is the projected starting pitcher for the Marlins. He is 7-6 with a 2.31 ERA and 1.07 WHIP with a 10.8 K/9 and 3.0 BB/9 over 101 1/3 IP across 18 starts.

Rogers was given an extra day to rest after the All-Star break as the Marlins look to limit his total innings pitched this season. He last appeared July 10 against Atlanta allowing three runs (two earned), four hits and two walks with four strikeouts across four innings in a no-decision.

RHP Paolo Espino is the projected starting pitcher for the Nationals. He is 2-2 with a 3.33 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 6.1 K/9 and 1.8 BB/9 across 46 IP spanning 5 starts and 16 relief appearances.

Espino appeared in relief Friday allowing three earned runs, four hits and a walk with two strikeouts across 2 1/3 innings. His only appearances against the Marlins, also in relief, came June 25 in Miami. He allowed two runs (one earned) and three hits with a walk in two innings of work.

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Marlins at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:50 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Marlins -130 (bet $130 to won $100) | Nationals +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Marlins -1.5 (+125) | Nationals +1.5 (-150)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Nationals 6, Marlins 5

Money line (ML)

The NATIONALS (+105) got it done in Monday’s series opener blasting the Marlins (-130) by an 18-1 score. Washington is a tremendous value at home at plus-money, and Miami is banged up. The Marlins placed 1B Garrett Cooper (elbow) and SS Jazz Chisholm Jr. (shoulder) on the 10-day injured list Monday, and OF Starling Marte (shoulder) is also day-to-day.

Miami has now dropped 40 of its past 53 games in Washington, and they’re just 18-46 in the previous 64 meetings overall. Look for the Nats to continue their mastery of the Fish.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The NATIONALS +1.5 (-150) are a decent play on their home field if you don’t trust Espino in the matchup against the southpaw Rogers. Washington has struggled against lefties going just 1-6 in the past seven vs. LHP. However, as mentioned, Miami is rather banged up, so buck this ugly trend.

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER 9 (-115) is the play. The Nats doubled up the Over on their own in Monday’s game. The Over has hit in six of the past seven for Miami, while Washington has cashed the Over in each of the past four outings.

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