The Miami Marlins (52-68) close out their 3-game road series against the Los Angeles Dodgers (83-36) and hope to avoid the sweep. First pitch is 4:10 p.m. ET at Dodger Stadium. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Marlins vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Dodgers lead 2-0
The Marlins have lost 3 straight games and have only 5 wins in their last 22 games. They have scored 1 total run in the series with the Dodgers so far.
The Dodgers have an 8-game home winning streak. They are 4-3 in their last 7 games but are 16-3 in their last 19 games.
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Marlins at Dodgers projected starters
RHP Sandy Alcantara vs. RHP Ryan Pepiot
Alcantara (11-5, 1.92 ERA) makes his 25th start. He has a 0.94 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 through 173 IP.
- Alcantara leads the majors in ERA, innings pitched, complete games and lowest HR/9.
- Has allowed 4 runs in 2 of his last 4 starts but has allowed 2 or fewer runs in 16 starts this season.
Pepiot (1-0, 4.26 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.50 WHIP, 7.1 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 through 25 1/3 IP.
- The Dodgers are 4-2 when Pepiot starts.
- He has made it through 5 innings only once this season.
Marlins at Dodgers odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11 a.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Marlins +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Dodgers -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-155) | Dodgers -1.5 (+125)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -102 | U: -122)
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Marlins at Dodgers picks and predictions
Prediction
Marlins 4, Dodgers 2
Money line
If there is a game where you can feel a level of confidence betting the Marlins over the Dodgers, it would be a getaway game with their ace on the mound against a rookie.
Alcantara goes deep into games and has the league’s best ERA. And since the Dodgers have cooled since their 12-game winning streak, here is a chance to win some money.
Take the MARLINS (+140).
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Run line/Against the spread
The Marlins have covered the spread in 3 of their last 5 games. They are 35-27 ATS away from home.
The Dodgers rarely win games and don’t cover the spread. They only have 8 1-run wins.
That makes the money line on the Marlins the best bet for this game. You can take the Marlins against the spread, but it’s just less money. If you don’t want to lean into a Miami win, take the MARLINS +1.5 (-155).
Over/Under
Sixteen of Alcantara’s starts have had 7 or fewer runs, including each of his last 3.
Sixteen of the Marlins’ last 18 have had 7 or fewer runs.
Take UNDER 7.5 (-122).
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