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The Miami Marlins (27-51) and Kansas City Royals (43-37) play the middle game of a 3-game series Tuesday. First pitch from Kauffman Stadium is slated for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Marlins vs. Royals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Royals lead 1-0
The Marlins could only manage 4 hits on Monday in a 4-1 loss to the Royals. Their lone run came on an RBI double from DH Bryan De La Cruz. Miami will need to rally to win its 3rd consecutive series.
Kansas City kicked off a 10-game homestand with a much-needed victory after being swept over the weekend by the Texas Rangers. The Royals got solo HRs from C Salvador Perez, RF Hunter Renfroe, and 1B Vinnie Pasquantino. LHP Cole Ragans struck out 11 Marlins in route to his 5th win.
Marlins at Royals projected starters
RHP Yonny Chirinos vs. RHP Seth Lugo
Chirinos (0-0, 3.60 ERA) makes his 2nd start. In his 1st start, he got a no-decision over 5 IP, allowing 2 ER, 8 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 4-3 victory over the St. Louis Cardinals Wednesday
- Recalled from Triple-A on June 19
- Made 39 career starts over his 6 MLB seasons
Lugo (10-2, 2.42 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 104 IP.
- Last start: No-decision, 6 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 8 K in 3-2 road victory against the Oakland A’s Thursday
- 2024 home splits: 3-2, 3.12 ERA (43 1/3 IP, 15 ER), 1.25 WHIP, 6.0 K/9 in 7 starts
- Last start vs Marlins: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 4-0 home win on Aug 23, 2023, as a member of the San Diego Padres
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Marlins at Royals odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:02 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Marlins +168 (bet $100 to win $168) | Royals -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins +1.5 (-120) | Royals -1.5 (+100)
- Over/Under (O/U): 10 (O: -102 | U: -120)
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Marlins at Royals picks and predictions
Prediction
Royals 6, Marlins 2
Moneyline.
PASS.
I love the Royals (-168) to take the 2nd game of this series especially with Lugo on the mound. I’m just not interested in paying all that juice. I’d rather take them on the run line.
Run line/Against the spread
BET ROYALS -1.5 (+100).
Kansas City plays really good baseball at Kauffman Stadium, where they are 26-14 and hitting .271 as a team. Meanwhile, the Marlins are 11-24 on the road with a team average of .224. Miami is just overmatched.
Lugo has owned the Marlins over his career, winning 4 of his 5 decisions and sporting an under 3 ERA. He has also only lost 1 start since April 21st.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 10 (-110).
I think this line is completely off. It should be like 8.5 at the most. I’m going to take advantage of this and jump all over this Under.
The last 3 meetings have gone Under including Monday night. The Royals are 0-5-1 against the Over in his last 6 games. Miami is the lowest scoring team on the road in the MLB and 2nd lowest overall.
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