The Miami Marlins (19-27) face the Colorado Rockies (22-26) Tuesday in the 2nd of their 3-game series at Coors Field. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Marlins vs. Rockies odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Colorado won Monday’s series opener 7-1 thanks to a 4-run 7th and a 3-run 8th after Miami SP Pablo Lopez exited the game with a 1-0 lead.
Season series: Colorado leads 1-0.
Marlins at Rockies projected starters
RHP Edward Cabrera (projected, not official) vs. RHP German Marquez
Miami has yet to officially announce a starter but Cabrera is expected to make his major league debut Tuesday.
- 2022 Minor League stats: 1-2 with a 3.90 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 4.9 BB/9 and 12.7 K/9 in 27 2/3 IP over 6 starts while pitching for Miami’s Triple-A and Single-A affiliates.
Marquez is 1-5 with a 6.30 ERA, 1.58 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 in 50 IP over 9 starts.
- Last start: Lost 7-3 Thursday at the Washington Nationals with 6 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 3 BB and 2 K.
- 2021 vs. the Marlins: One start, a 14-2 home win Aug. 6 with 6-scoreless IP, 2 H, 1 BB and 7 K.
Marlins at Rockies odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:02 p.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Marlins +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Rockies -135 (bet $100 to win $135)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins -1.5 (-175) | Rockies -1.5 (+140)
- Over/Under (O/U): 10.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)
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Marlins at Rockies picks and predictions
Prediction
Rockies 6, Marlins 3
Money line
LEAN ROCKIES (-135) only because the Marlins (+110) have a much more reliable bullpen and Miami’s lineup is far more productive vs. right-handed pitching than Colorado’s.
But, Coors Field is the most notorious hitter-friendly ballpark and one of the worst venues for a rookie pitcher to make his MLB debut. Also, the Rockies are 15-11 overall at home while the Marlins are 6-11 as road underdogs.
Lastly, Marquez’s numbers are due for progress up to the mean because his FIP (4.54) is nearly 2 runs lower than his ERA (6.30) and he was an All-Star last season so he’s proven he can hang in the big leagues.
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Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
The Rockies -1.5 (+140) are just 6-7 RL as home favorites, Marquez is off to the worst start in his career and Colorado’s bullpen is atrocious while the Marlins +1.5 (-175) are 12-5 RL as road underdogs.
Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 10.5 (-112) only because of Colorado’s aforementioned pitching woes, the Rockies are 6-3 O/U in Marquez’s 9 starts and 9-4 O/U as home favorites and because the Over has cashed in 4 of the past 5 Marlins-Rockies meetings.
However, this Under being more expensive despite the starting pitching matchup suggests the oddsmakers are laying a trap for bettors taking the Over.
The UNDER 10.5 (-112) is my favorite wager in the Marlins-Rockies since the public doesn’t usually bet Unders at Coors Field.
Also, the weather forecast is predicting a cool night in Denver (temperatures in the low-to-mid-50s) with double-digit mph winds blowing in from center field.
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