The Miami Marlins (45-51) and Cincinnati Reds (37-58) clash Tuesday at 6:40 p.m. ET to continue a 4-game series at Great American Ball Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Marlins vs. Reds odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Reds lead 1-0 after Monday’s 11-2 win. Cincinnati won 5 of 7 from Miami in 2021.
Miami scuffled at the tail end of the first half, but the Fish have been just fine of late on the road. Even with Monday’s setback, they are 9-4 in their last 13 road games.
The Reds continue a home stand that opened last weekend with a 2-1 series win vs. the St. Louis Cardinals. With Monday’s victory, Cincinnati is 7-1 in its last 8 home games.
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Marlins at Reds projected starters
RHP Pablo Lopez vs. RHP Hunter Greene
Lopez (6-5, 3.14 ERA) is tabbed for his 20th start of the season. He has a 1.09 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 109 IP.
- Toted a 1.83 into June, but has registered a 4.86 ERA since. Road starts (5.54 ERA last 26 IP) have been a problem in that stretch.
- Allowed 5 R, 5 H, 3 BB and 6 K in 5 IP in losing his first 2nd-half start July 21 vs. the Texas Rangers.
Greene (3-11, 5.78 ERA) has a 1.35 WHIP, 4.0 BB/9 and 11.3 K/9 through 90 1/3 IP in 18 starts.
- First start of 2nd half. Lost last start July 15 vs. St. Louis with 5 IP, 5 H, 4 R, 3 BB and 6 K.
- Owns a Boeing 7.12 ERA in his last 30 1/3 IP.
Marlins at Reds odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 11:33 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Marlins -112 (bet $100 to win $112) | Reds -108 (bet $108 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Marlins -1.5 (+140) | Reds +1.5 (-175)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)
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Marlins at Reds picks and predictions
Prediction
Reds 5, Marlins 4
Money line
Cincy pitching went through a sneaky solid stretch in early July (3.29 ERA July 3-12) and the Reds bullpen carries some hidden upside value.
López is up against a Cincinnati club that had posted an .812 OPS over its 5 home games prior to Monday’s 11-run outburst.
TAKE CINCINNATI (-108).
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Run line/Against the spread
REDS +1.5 (-175) is the lean. But the profit margin is razor thin. Bettors wanting some plus-1 insurance may want to mix this action in with the above ML play.
Over/Under
Mixed signals here — some favoring a high total and some leaning toward pitching and defense. It all spells a PASS.
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