The Miami Heat (22-13) travel to AT&T Center Wednesday to take on the San Antonio Spurs (14-19). Tip-off is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Heat vs. Spurs odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.
The Heat are coming off a 7-point victory over the Wizards. Miami SG Tyler Herro put up 32 while SF Duncan Robinson chipped in 26. Heat wing Jimmy Butler, who is out for this game, had 25 points while no other player topped 10 for Miami.
Without Butler and many other key starters, the Heat will be underdogs on the road. They’re 6-2 ATS as road underdogs, the second-best ATS record in the NBA as a road underdog. Miami is 19-16 ATS on the season.
As for the Spurs, they’ll also be down their top player, PG Dejounte Murray. However, they covered as 7-point underdogs against the Jazz without Murray in their last outing.
The Spurs are a deep team and far better than their record indicates, posting the 10th-best net rating in the NBA. They’re 20-13 ATS this season.
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Heat at Spurs odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 2:05 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Heat +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Spurs -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Heat +6.5 (-120) | Spurs -6.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 217.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Heat at Spurs key injuries
Heat
- C Bam Adebayo (thumb) out
- F Jimmy Butler (ankle) out
- G Kyle Lowry (health and safety protocols) out
- F P.J. Tucker (health and safety protocols) out
Spurs
- G Dejounte Murray (health and safety protocols) out
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Heat at Spurs odds, lines, picks and predictions
Prediction
Spurs 112, Heat 104
Money line
PASS on the Spurs at -250.
The Heat have Herro still active, and he could be the best scorer on the court. If anything, I’d lean to the Heat’s money line, but given their absences, I’d stay away from either money line pick.
Against the spread
“LEAN” to the SPURS -6.5 (-105) as the Heat are down just too many bodies. With Butler out, the Heat will turn to Herro and Robinson, both of which aren’t the most consistent scoring options.
As for the Spurs, they have the league’s second-lowest turnover rate and rank in the top 12 in offensive rebounding which should help against a team down several key bigs.
At 42.8 points per game, the Spurs average the most bench points, so their depth, with Derrick White and others, will be key, and it should push them to be able to cover at home.
Over/Under
BET on the UNDER 217.5 (-110) as the best bet in this game. Both teams have a defense that ranks in the top half of the league in efficiency. Similarly, both teams rank in the top 12 in total rebounding rate.
While the Spurs push the pace, they don’t turn the ball over often. Against a Miami team that ranks 29th in pace, this game should turn into a half-court battle without many transition opportunities.
With that in mind, I expect fewer points.
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