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The Sacramento Kings (17-19) welcome the Miami Heat (17-16) to Golden 1 Center Monday. Tip is set for 10 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Heat vs. Kings odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Kings lead 1-0 with 111-110 road win on Nov. 4
The Heat lost to the Utah Jazz 136-100 Saturday, closing as a 9-point home favorite. They were led by F Nikola Jovic, who scored 17 points in the discouraging defeat. Miami has lost 2 in a row and failed to cover in both; however, they won and covered the 2 games prior. The Heat are 15-18 against the spread (ATS).
The Kings, who have won 4 straight games including 2 by double figures, throttled the Golden State Warriors 129-99 on the road Sunday, closing as a 3-point underdog. G Malik Monk scored 26 points. Sacramento is 3-1 ATS in its last 4, but just 13-22-1 ATS on the season.
Heat at Kings odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 12:11 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Heat +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Kings -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Heat +3.5 (-105) | Kings -3.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 221.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Heat at Kings key injuries
Heat
- F Jimmy Butler (suspension) out
Kings
- G De’Aaron Fox (glute) doubtful
- F Keegan Murray (ankle) questionable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Heat at Kings picks and predictions
Prediction
Kings 116, Heat 109
Moneyline
PASS.
While the Kings are playable on the moneyline, the preferred route considering the predicted score is the home team’s spread. Look there for value.
Against the spread
BET KINGS -3.5 (-115).
The Kings have not covered consistently this season, but they have performed much better as of late. They are 2-1 ATS in their last 3 games at home, having averaged 123.5 points over their previous 2. Sacramento’s defense has looked improved as well, allowing 107 or fewer points in 3 of its last 4 contests.
The Heat are in disarray with Butler out of the lineup. They have dropped 2 straight to Utah and the Indiana Pacers, both at home. Miami is 2-3 ATS in its last 5, allowing 132 points per game over its previous 2.
Take KINGS -3.5 (-115).
Over/Under
BET OVER 221.5 (-115).
The Heat have gone Over in 3 straight games, scoring 115 points or more twice while allowing at least 108 points in all 3 games. They are 19-14 O/U.
The Kings are 4-2 O/U in their last 6, scoring at least 110 points in all of those while allowing at least 114 in 4 of their previous 7 games. Considering those trends, back OVER 221.5 (-115).
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