The Sacramento Kings (0-4) welcome the Miami Heat (2-4) to Golden 1 Center Saturday. Tip is set for 6 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Heat vs. Kings odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
The Kings are coming into this game as 1 of 2 winless teams left in the NBA with both (other being the Lakers) in the Western Conference. Sacramento is 2-2 against the spread (ATS) though.
It is led by G De’Aaron Fox, who is averaging 30.5 points per game this season and shooting a remarkable 59% from the field and 42.5% from 3-point range.
As for the Heat, they are coming off a road loss to the Warriors Thursday. They have lost all 4 of their games by at least 7 points and have had just 1 finish within a 6-point margin.
Miami is led offensively by G Jimmy Butler, but the strength of this team is in its defensive identity, which is spearheaded by Butler and C Bam Adebayo.
Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!
Heat at Kings odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:40 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Heat -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Kings +133 (bet $100 to win $133)
- Against the spread (ATS): Heat -3.5 (-115) | Kings +3.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 226.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)
Claim your risk-free bet up to $350. Catch the excitement and start betting with Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Bet now!
Heat at Kings key injuries
Heat
- None
Kings
- G Kevin Huerter (shoulder) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Heat at Kings picks and predictions
Prediction
Kings 112, Heat 109
Moneyline
BET KINGS (+133).
The Heat have typically been known for their defense, but they have allowed 109 or more points in 4 of 6 games this season. G Kyle Lowry is aging, and G Tyler Herro isn’t a stud on that end of the court.
The Kings have a better defensive rating than the Heat, and while their defense isn’t as good, at home, I would rather back the team that can play offense and rebound as Miami sits 23rd in the NBA in defensive rebounding rate.
Turnover rate also goes the Kings’ way as they rank 14th compared to Miami’s 20th. Sacramento’s defense hasn’t looked good, but without many efficient, big-time scoring options, the Heat may not be able to capitalize.
Just like Orlando did yesterday, taking on a mid-tier team in your conference at home gives way for good moneyline odds to reign in your first victory. Expect the Kings to win this battle.
Against the spread
PASS.
At these odds, I’d rather take the Kings to win outright.
Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 226.5 (-112).
Simply put, neither team is great at offensive rebounding, and there isn’t a superstar scoring option in this battle.
More importantly, both organizations sit outside the top 10 in pace, which suggests this should be a slow-paced game, especially with the Heat’s style of play.
Want action on this NBA game or any other matchups? Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, SportsbookWire’s official sportsbook partner in CO and NJ. Bet now!
If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.
Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
Access more NBA coverage:
HoopsHype | Bulls Wire | Celtics Wire | Nets Wire | Rockets Wire | Sixers Wire | Thunder Wire | Warriors Wire | LeBron Wire | Rookie Wire | List Wire
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1368]