Miami Heat at Sacramento Kings odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Thursday’s Miami Heat at Sacramento Kings NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Miami Heat (11-17) continue with their seven-game Western Conference road trip on Thursday night. Playing for the second night in a row, they face the struggling Sacramento Kings (12-15). Tipoff is at 10:05 p.m. ET at the Golden 1 Center.

Below, we analyze the Heat-Kings NBA odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Heat at Kings: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Heat -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Kings -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Heat -1.5 (-110) | Kings +1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 223.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Heat at Kings: Key injuries

Heat

  • SG Avery Bradley (calf) out
  • PG Goran Dragic (ankle) out
  • C Meyers Leonard (shoulder) out

Kings

  • Harrison Barnes (foot) out
  • F Richaun Holmes (knee) out
  • Chimezie Metu (wrist) out

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Heat at Kings: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Heat 118, Kings 111

Money line (ML)

The Kings have been reeling. They have lost all four games of their five-game homestand they’re wrapping up against the Heat, who are coming off a road loss to the Golden State Warriors after blowing a 15-point halftime lead. Miami has lost three in a row and is 4-10 on the road this season. The Kings have had their struggles at home, going 7-10 at the Golden 1 Center. Miami is 3-3 as a road favorite this season, and the Kings are 3-8 as home dogs. Take the HEAT -115.

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Against the spread (ATS)

Miami has the worst ATS record in the league at 9-18-1. Sacramento has only covered the spread in three of 11 home games in which they are the underdog, so neither team is a good bet in this situation. However, Miami did build a big lead against Golden State, and the Kings have lost by eight points or more in each of their last four games. Take the HEAT -1.5 (-110). 

Over/Under (O/U)

Miami’s last two games have gone Over, and the Kings’ Over percentage of 63% is the fifth-highest in the league. Their last three games and five of their last seven have gone Over. They give up the second-most points in the league at 119.3. Take OVER 223.5 POINTS (-110).

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