Miami Heat at Portland Trail Blazers odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Sunday’s Miami Heat at Portland Trail Blazers NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Miami Heat (27-25) kick off a four-game Western Conference road trip on Sunday, beginning with the Portland Trail Blazers (31-21). Tip-off Sunday night is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET in Moda Center. Below, we analyze the Heat-Trail Blazers odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

Miami wrapped up a 3-1 homestand Thursday, closing it out with a 110-104 win over the L.A. Lakers. They have won five of their last six games, turning things around after their six-game losing streak. They lost 125-122 to the Blazers at home March 25.

Portland is playing for the second night in a row at home as part of their three-game homestand. They beat the Detroit Pistons 118-103 Saturday night after losing three of their previous four games.

Heat at Trail Blazers: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:40 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Heat -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Trail Blazers -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Heat +1 (-115) | Trail Blazers -1 (-105)
  • Over/Under: 221.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Heat at Trail Blazers: Key injuries

Heat

  • SG Tyler Herro (foot) questionable
  • PF KZ Okpala (health and safety protocols) out
  • SG Victor Oladipo (knee) out
  • PG Gabe Vincent (knee) probable

Trail Blazers

  • PF Zach Collins (ankle) out
  • Jusuf Nurkic (knee) questionable

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Heat at Trail Blazers: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Trail Blazers 111, Heat 108

Money line (ML)

Portland has been solid against the East this season going 15-7 so far. They have won five of their last six games against Eastern Conference teams – including the Heat in Miami. Miami has struggled against teams over .500 this season. They are 7-15 against teams with a winning record. However, Portland isn’t much better at 8-14. This is a true toss-up game, but I lean BLAZERS -110.

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Against the spread (ATS)

The Heat have been streaky against the spread. They have failed to cover the spread in their last two games. They covered the previous four, and before that, they had a six-game streak of not covering. Overall, the Heat are 22-29 ATS. Portland is an even 26-26 ATS and 11-11 ATS as an underdog. I expect them to pick up a win, so take the BLAZERS -1 (-105). 

Over/Under (O/U)

Miami is known for its defense. They allow the third-fewest points in the league at 107.4. However, low totals have led to four straight games going Over. The Blazers have had four of their last five games go Under, but that is with totals of 226.5 or higher. The highest total for Miami in the last four games has been 216.5. With the total set where it is for this game tonight take UNDER 221.5 POINTS (-105). 

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