The Miami Heat (42-37) visit the Philadelphia 76ers (52-27) on Thursday. Tip from Wells Fargo Center is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (TNT). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Heat vs. 76ers odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
Miami beat the Detroit Pistons 118-105 on Tuesday but failed to cover as a 13.5-point road favorite. It has now won back-to-back games and is 6-4 in its last 10. The Heat are 4-6 against the spread (ATS) and are just 29-48-2 ATS on the season.
Philadelphia took down the Boston Celtics 103-101 Tuesday but failed to cover as a 3.5-point home favorite. It is 5-5 straight up and ATS in its last 10 games; the Sixers are 46-33 ATS this season.
The Heat and Sixers have split the season series 1-1 thus far with Miami winning 101-99 as a 5.5-point road underdog on Feb. 27, and Philly winning 119-96 and covering as a 3.5-point road underdog on March 1.
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Heat at 76ers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Heat +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | 76ers -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Heat +2.5 (-105) | 76ers -2.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 220.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Heat at 76ers key injuries
Heat
- C Bam Adebayo (quadriceps) questionable
- G Kyle Lowry (knee) questionable
76ers
- G Tyrese Maxey (neck) questionable
- G De’Anthony Melton (calf) questionable
- F P.J. Tucker (calf) questionable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Heat at 76ers picks and predictions
Prediction
76ers 107, Heat 101
Moneyline
PASS.
There is no need to pay the extra juice on the Philadelphia (-145) moneyline when it should win by margin.
Against the spread
LEAN 76ERS -2.5 (-115).
The Sixers are 46-33 ATS this season opposed to the Heat’s 29-48-2 ATS record. They have covered the spread in 3 of their last 5 games including 2 of their last 3 home games.
The Sixers are 25-15 ATS at home this season while the Heat are 14-23-1 ATS on the road. Philadelphia is also 9-3 ATS this season as a 1-2.5-point favorite while Miami is 2-5 ATS as a 1-2.5-point underdog.
The Heat are just 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following an outright victory of 10 or more points and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games against a team with a winning home record.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 220.5 (-110).
Miami ranks 2nd in the NBA in opponent points per game (109.8) while Philadelphia ranks 3rd (110.5).
The Under is 4-0 in the Heat’s last 4 road games against a team with a winning home record and 4-0 in their last 4 games against a team with a winning outright record.
The Under is 4-1 in the Sixers’ last 5 games, 5-1 in their last 6 games following an ATS loss, 9-1 in their last 10 games playing on 1 day’s rest and 4-0 in their last 4 games against a team with a winning outright record.
The Under is also 2-0 in their previous 2 meetings this season and 4-0 in their last 4 meetings dating back to last season.
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