The Miami Heat (32-27) battle the Milwaukee Bucks (41-17) Friday. Tip from Fiserv Forum is set for 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Heat vs. Bucks odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
This will be the last regular-season battle between thecteams with the Heat having won 2 of the 3. The home team has won and covered in each battle. The total is 1-2 O/U.
The Heat are just 2-8 against the spread (ATS) in their last 10 games and are 1-6 ATS in their last 7. They are coming off a 116-105 loss at Brooklyn on Feb. 15, failing to cover as a 1.5-point underdog. Miami is 32-27 ATS on the season.
The Bucks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games and are coming off a Feb. 16 win over the Bulls, beating Chicago 112-100 and covering as a 7.5-point road underdog. Milwaukee is 32-24-2 ATS on the season.
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Heat at Bucks odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:33 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Heat +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Bucks -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Heat +1.5 (-110) | Bucks -1.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 218.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)
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Heat at Bucks key injuries
Heat
- G Tyler Herro (knee) probable
- G Kyle Lowry (knee) out
Bucks
- F Giannis Antetokoumpo (wrist) doubtful
- G Pat Connaughton (calf) doubtful
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Heat at Bucks picks and predictions
Prediction
Heat 114, Bucks 110
Moneyline
PASS.
The moneyline and spread both aren’t bad options given how close they are. I would prefer the 1.5-point spread for the underdog instead.
Against the spread
LEAN HEAT +1.5 (-110).
The weapons are there for the Heat. The Bucks played most of their last game without their 2-time MVP, but the Bulls shot just 38% from the field. The Heat should have more success with Herro, F Jimmy Butler and C Bam Adebayo taking the court.
Also, without Antetokounmpo, C Brook Lopez and G Jrue Holiday will need to step up, and All-Defensive team players, Adebayo and Butler, should limit what they can do offensively. The Bucks are 5-4 without Antetkounmpo.
Given the lack of Giannis and the subsequent ability for the Heat to defend Milwaukee’s top scoring options, back the HEAT +1.5 (-110).
Over/Under
BET OVER 218.5 (-112).
The Bucks have scored at least 110 in their last 6 games, dropping 123 on Miami Feb. 4 in a 123-115 win. The Bucks even scored 112 against Chicago on the road without Antetokounmpo for most of the game.
The Heat have gone Over in 2 straight and in 4 of their last 6. They have scored at least 107 points in 4 of those 6 games.
Considering the Bucks’ ability to score without their star in the lineup and the Heat’s recent success covering the Over, back the OVER 218.5 (-112).
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