Miami Heat at Houston Rockets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Miami Heat at Houston Rockets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Miami Heat (14-15) face the Houston Rockets (9-18) Thursday at Toyota Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Heat vs. Rockets, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Heat defeated the Oklahoma City Thunder 110-108 Wednesday but they failed to cover as 2.5-point road favorites. Miami has won 3 of its last 4 games.

The Rockets secured a 111-97 victory over the Phoenix Suns Tuesday to cover as 7-point underdogs at home. Houston has also logged a win in 3 of its last 4 games.

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Heat at Rockets odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Heat -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Rockets +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Heat -3.5 (-115) | Rockets +3.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 219.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Heat at Rockets key injuries

Heat

  • Not yet submitted

Rockets

  • F Jae’Sean Tate (ankle) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Heat at Rockets picks and predictions

Prediction

Heat 109, Rockets 103

Moneyline

The odds for the Heat (-160) to win on Thursday are at a point where I’m not confident in taking them to secure a victory, so I’ll PASS on the moneyline. F Jimmy Butler was out for Wednesday’s matchup against the Thunder and it remains to be seen who suits up for Miami Thursday.

Against the spread

Even though I won’t be taking Miami to win straight up, HEAT -3.5 (-115) is an intriguing wager assuming that they have most of their starters available when they release an injury report. If Miami elects to sit a few starters on the 2nd leg of a back-to-back, then proceed with caution when wagering on the spread in this contest.

The Heat are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road meetings against the Rockets and 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings overall.

Over/Under

UNDER 219.5 (-115) is my lean considering how these teams have performed on offense thus far. Besides the Heat playing at the 3rd-slowest pace in the NBA, the Heat and the Rockets are both bottom 5 teams in offensive rating.

The Rockets have hit the Under in 5 of their last 6 games following a win. Meanwhile, the Under is 4-2 in the last 6 meetings between the Heat and the Rockets.

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