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The Miami Heat (4-5) and Detroit Pistons (4-7) meet Tuesday at Little Caesars Arena for an In-Season Tournament game at 7 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Heat vs. Pistons odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Heat lead 1-0
The Heat picked up a thrilling 95-94 win at the Minnesota Timberwolves last time out as a 7.5-point underdog while the Under (219) cashed. That victory halted a 3-game skid. The Under is 5-3 in the past 8 outings, too.
Miami will be without SF Jimmy Butler for a second consecutive game due to an ankle injury, so expect F Haywood Highsmith and F Kevin Love to start at the forward spots again.
The Pistons lost 101-99 to the Houston Rockets on Sunday, but Detroit did cover as a 4-point home ‘dog. They’re a respectable 6-3 against the spread (ATS) in the past 9 games, while the Under is 4-1 in the past 5 outings, and 8-3 in 11 games on the season, including the first meeting in Miami Oct. 28, won by the Heat 106-98.
Heat at Pistons odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 8:05 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Heat -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Pistons +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Heat -1.5 (-110) | Pistons +1.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 214.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Heat at Pistons key injuries
Heat
- F Jimmy Butler (ankle) out
Pistons
- C Jalen Duren (ankle) questionable
- F Bobi Klintman (calf) out
- C Isaiah Stewart (ankle) questionable
- F Ausar Thompson (illness) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Heat at Pistons picks and predictions
Prediction
Pistons 106, Heat 103
Moneyline
The PISTONS (+100) are a decent play at even-money, as they catch a break with Jimmy Buckets being sidelined for the Heat (-120) in this In-Season Tournament battle at LCA.
Detroit is looking to avenge an 8-point loss in late October against the Heat in Miami, although the Pistons were able to cover. The Pistons have won 2 in a row at home, including a victory over LeBron James and the Los Angeles Lakers on Nov. 4, so they’re tough. Cade Cunningham is playing great ball, too, posting 3 triple-doubles in the past 4 outings.
Against the spread
Playing the Pistons +1.5 (-110) is silly, unless you’re absolutely convinced that the Heat -1.5 (-110) are going to win, but only by a single point.
If that’s not you, and you like Detroit, just play it straight up for a cheaper price.
AVOID.
Over/Under
UNDER 214.5 (-110) is worth a play in this tournament battle.
The Under has cashed in 4 of the past 5 games for the Pistons, while going 8-3 on the season. That includes the first meeting in South Florida in late October, as the teams combined for 204 points with a total of 219.5.
The Under has cashed in the past 3 meetings in the series, and 7 of the previous 9 battles since March 15, 2022.
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