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The Miami Heat (3-4) are on the road Friday night facing the Denver Nuggets (5-3). Tip-off from Ball Arena is at 9 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Heat vs. Nuggets odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Nuggets won series 2-0 last season
The Heat have lost 2 straight games and 3 of the last 4. They are coming off a 115-112 road loss to the Phoenix Suns on Wednesday, but they covered the 5-point spread as underdogs.
The Nuggets have won 3 in a row and last played Wednesday, a 124-122 home win over the Oklahoma City Thunder as 7-point underdogs.
Heat at Nuggets odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 10:11 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Heat +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Nuggets -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Heat +3.5 (-115) | Nuggets -3.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 223.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Heat at Nuggets key injuries
Heat
- G Tyler Herro (back) available
- F Jaime Jaquez Jr. (reconditioning) questionable
- F Kevin Love (reconditioning) out
Nuggets
- F Vlatko Cancar (ankle) out
- F Aaron Gordon (calf) out
- G Jamal Murray (concussion) questionable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Heat at Nuggets picks and predictions
Prediction
Heat 124, Nuggets 118
Moneyline
The Nuggets have won 3 straight at home after starting the season 0-2 at Ball Arena.
Heat C Bam Adebayo only shot 5-for-21 against Phoenix on Wednesday. He will bounce back, although he will have to face C Nikola Jokic defensively.
Miami will need to slow a Denver offense that has scored over 120 points in 3 straight games. But the Nuggets also have allowed 119 points or more in 5 of their last 6 games.
BET HEAT (+125).
Against the spread
The Heat are 2-2 ATS as underdogs with both covers being outright wins.
The Nuggets have been favored 6 times this season. They are 1-5 ATS in those games, although only 2 ATS losses were outright.
But expecting the Miami straight-up win, the spread here makes less sense because of the plus odds on the moneyline.
PASS.
Over/Under
The Over has hit in the Nuggets’ last 6 games. They have scored over 120 points themselves in 3 straight games and in 5 of the last 6 contests. Their opponents average 117.2 points per game.
BET OVER 223.5 (-110).
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