Miami Heat at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Miami Heat at Denver Nuggets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Miami Heat (18-17) and the Denver Nuggets (22-12) meet Friday at Ball Arena in Denver. Tip-off is scheduled for 9 p.m. ET (NBATV). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Heat vs. Nuggets odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Heat have picked up 2 straight wins, both against Western Conference teams, including a 112-98 win on Wednesday as 8.5-point favorites against the visiting Los Angeles Lakers. In fact, Miami has won 5 in a row against the Western Conference, going 3-0-1 in the last 4 games against the West.

The Nuggets were edged 127-126 in Sacramento on Wednesday in the 2nd end of a back-to-back in California’s capital city. That loss snapped a 5-game win streak, although the Nuggets covered as 2.5-point underdogs and they’re 4-1 ATS in the last 5 games. The Under is 5-2 in the last 7 games for Denver.

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Heat at Nuggets odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:08 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Heat +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | Nuggets -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Heat +4.5 (-112) | Nuggets -4.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 223.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Heat at Nuggets key injuries

Heat

  • F Jimmy Butler (ankle) probable
  • C Dewayne Dedmon (foot) out
  • F Udonis Haslem (Achilles) questionable
  • F Nikola Jovic (back) probable
  • G Kyle Lowry (personal) probable
  • F Caleb Martin (ankle) questionable
  • G Gabe Vincent (knee) probable

Nuggets

  • G Bruce Brown (ankle) questionable
  • F Aaron Gordon (shoulder) questionable
  • G Jamal Murray (knee) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Heat at Nuggets picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 111, Heat 107

Moneyline

The Nuggets (-190) are a little on the expensive side, especially if Gordon and the Blue Arrow cannot play.

The Heat (+160) have a rather lengthy injury list, too, but if you were to roll the dice on the money line, it would be a better value.

PASS.

Against the spread

The HEAT +4.5 (-112) is the play, as long as Jimmy Buckets can suit up. All indications are that he’ll be ready, and that makes Miami the play.

The Nuggets -4.5 (-108) have managed to go 0-4 ATS in the last 4 games following a SU loss, while cashing in just 2 of the last 10 games when working on just 1 day of rest.

Over/Under

UNDER 223.5 (-110) is the lean, and it might be the best play in this game due to the lengthy injury report on both sides.

It’s all about the Under for Miami lately, going 4-1 in the last 5 games overall, while cashing in 4 of the last 5 on the road, too.

The Under is 10-4 in the last 14 games for Denver at home, while going 5-2 in the last 7 games overall.

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