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The Atlanta Hawks (16-15) welcome the Miami Heat (15-13) to State Farm Arena Saturday. Tip is set for 3 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Heat vs. Hawks odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting, Heat won last season’s series 3-1.
The Hawks beat the Chicago Bulls 141-133 Thursday, covering as a 5-point home favorite. They were led by F Jalen Johnson, who dropped a team-high 30 points. Atlanta has won 2 straight games, covering in both; however, it is still just 2-3 straight up and ATS in its last 5. The Hawks are 13-18 ATS on the season.
The Heat beat the Orlando Magic 89-88 Thursday, closing as a 1-point road underdog. They were led by G Tyler Herro, who scored 20 on 8-for-17 shooting. Miami has won 2 straight and 6 of its last 9. It is 5-4 ATS in those 9 and 13-15 ATS on the season. The Heat are just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games.
Heat at Hawks odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 9:10 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Heat +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Hawks -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Heat +2.5 (-110) | Hawks -2.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 225.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Heat at Hawks key injuries
Heat
- F Jimmy Butler (reconditioning) out
- G Terry Rozier (knee) probable
Hawks
- G Bogdan Bogdanovic (leg) questionable
- C Onyeka Okongwu (knee) out
- G Trae Young (heel) questionable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Heat at Hawks picks and predictions
Prediction
Hawks 114, Heat 108
Moneyline
BET HAWKS (-140).
The Hawks are 9-4 straight up over their last 13 games and are 5-2 at home in that span. They have a much more competent offense with 2 of their top 3 weapons shooting north of 48% from the field.
The Heat have road losses to Orlando and Detroit in their last 3 away games. They are 2-5 in their last 7 road games. Miami will be without its best player in Butler, leaving no player among its top 8 scoring weapons shooting over 48% from the field.
Take the more efficient side and back HAWKS (-140).
Against the spread
PASS.
While the Hawks are certainly playable on the spread as well, the preferred route is the moneyline. Atlanta has had 3 games finish within 1 point this season.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 225.5 (-110).
The Heat simply don’t play fast enough to suggest they can help top this total. Miami ranks 26th in pace. It has scored 110 or fewer in 3 in its last 4 and is 2-4 O/U in its last 6.
The Hawks are 3-3 O/U in their last 6 and have allowed 110 or fewer in 3 of those while scoring 117 or fewer in 4 of them. Considering those trends, back UNDER 225.5 (-110).
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