The Miami Heat (29-16) travel to State Farm Arena Friday to take on the Atlanta Hawks (19-25). Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Heat vs. Hawks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.
One of the best covering teams in the league with a 27-18 against the spread (ATS) record, the Heat are coming in having covered 8 of their last 10. However, they’ll be without two key offensive players, Tyler Herro and Kyle Lowry. The Heat are 7-1 without Lowry this season.
As for the Hawks, their big man Clint Capela is listed as questionable. He’s a crucial factor on both ends of the court. Atlanta has been disappointing this season yet has a 10-11 home record, which compares favorably to their 9-14 road record.
The Hawks are just 17-27 ATS. They lost at home against the Heat Jan. 12 by 24, losing both that two-game series by an average of 15 points.
Heat at Hawks odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Heat -103 (bet $103 to win $100) | Hawks -117 (bet $117 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Heat +1.5 (-115) | Hawks -1.5 (-107)
- Over/Under (O/U): 219.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)
PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!
Heat at Hawks key injuries
Heat
- G Tyler Herro (health and safety protocols) out
- G Kyle Lowry (personal) out
Hawks
- G Bogdan Bogdanovic (knee) out
- F Danilo Gallinari (ankle) out
- C Clint Capela (ankle) questionable
Deposit $10 or more, get $100 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!
Heat at Hawks odds, lines, picks and predictions
Prediction
Heat 114, Hawks 109
Money line
BET the HEAT -103.
Miami is just the better team, especially if the Hawks are down Capela.
The big man does make a massive difference, and I’d wait to bet this until knowing his status. Capela hasn’t played since Jan. 7, missing both of the two teams’ matchups earlier this month.
Regardless, the Heat are versatile offensively and have one of the best duos in the NBA with Jimmy Butler and Bam Adebayo. The Heat are the only team in the NBA that ranks in the top seven in both offensive and defensive rating.
Considering they’re 14-11 on the road and have the defenders capable of limiting superstar G Trae Young, I expect them to win this game and may even suggest alternate spreads. One could get Miami -4.5 for +150.
Against the spread
PASS on the spread. Since I like Miami in this situation, I’d prefer to take the better money line odds.
Over/Under
“LEAN” to the OVER 219.5 (-107).
During the teams’ two-game stint earlier in the season, the total was 1-1 O/U.
The Hawks have been absolutely thriving on the offensive end lately as the Over is 7-3 in their last 10. Similarly, the Heat are 26-19 O/U this season with their last 10 split 6-4 O/U.
Given the trends, I’d lean towards more points, especially with the absence of Lowry and potential absence of Capela.
Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and, soon, IA. Bet now!
If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.
Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
Additional NBA sports coverage:
HoopsHype | Celtics Wire | LeBron Wire | Lonzo Wire | Nets Wire | Rockets Wire | Sixers Wire | Thunder Wire | Warriors Wire | Rookie Wire | List Wire
Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1622]