Miami Heat at Atlanta Hawks odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Thursday’s Miami Heat at Atlanta Hawks sports betting odds and lines, with NBA betting picks, tips and best bets.

The Miami Heat (35-19) visit the Atlanta Hawks (15-41) Thursday at the State Farm Arena as the NBA returns from the midseason All-Star break. Tip-off is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. We analyze the Heat-Hawks sports betting odds and lines, with NBA betting advice and tips around the matchup.

Heat at Hawks: Key Injuries

Heat

  • Meyers Leonard (ankle) out
  • SG Tyler Herro (foot) out

Hawks

  • SG Kevin Huerter (ankle) probable
  • SF De’Andre Hunter (ankle) questionable
  • SG DeAndre’ Bembry (hand) available
  • Clint Capela (heel) out
  • PF Skal Labissiere (knee) out

Get some action on this game or others by placing a bet at BetMGM.


Heat at Hawks: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips

NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:35 a.m. ET.

Prediction

Heat 114, Hawks 104

Moneyline (ML)

The Heat (-250) limped into the All-Star break as losers of four of their last five games. They went just 4-6 across their last 10 games before the break, and they’re just 13-16 on the road for the season. Miami leads the season series 3-0, with victories coming by counts of 112-97, 106-97 and 135-121 in overtime.

Still, the moneyline draws a PASS without enough value on the visitors. A $10 bet on the Heat to win returns a profit of just $4. The Hawks (+200) offer an adequate profit potential to double your money, but they went 2-5 en route to the All-Star break, and they remain without several key players. The Hawks are just 9-17 at home for the season and inspire little confidence. Turn to the spread.

Line/Against the Spread (ATS)

Back the HEAT (-6.5, -106) to win by at least 7 points. The Hawks are 25-30-1 against the spread overall but an impressive 15-10-1 on homecourt. The Heat are 29-23-2 ATS overall but just 12-16-1 on the road. Each of the Heat’s last four victories were by margins of at least 7 points. Six of the Hawks’ last seven losses were by margins greater than 7 points.

All three Miami wins in the head-to-head season came by more than 7 points, even the Dec. 10 overtime contest.

Over/Under (O/U)

Go with the UNDER 230.5 (-106) and a lower vig on your total bet in the Heat-Hawks. Both teams, like much of the NBA, have been off since Wednesday, Feb, 12, and come in well-rested and ready for a proper defensive effort. The Hawks are missing top scorers in Hunter and Bembry and the Heat are without Herro.

Esten’s NBA betting record: 193-163

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