Miami Dolphins at Tennessee Titans odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Miami Dolphins at Tennessee Titans odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

On Sunday, the Miami Dolphins (8-7) travel to Nissan Stadium for a 1 p.m. ET kickoff with the Tennessee Titans (10-5). Below, we look at the Dolphins vs. Titans odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

The Titans are coming into this match after defeating the San Francisco 49ers 20-17 as 3-point underdogs on Thursday Night Football in Week 16.

Tennessee is just 3-3 straight-up over its past six games, primed to clinch a playoff spot with a win. However, the Titans have to face a red-hot Dolphins team that will be in a do-or-die game as well.

QB Tua Tagovailoa has the league’s No. 1 completion percentage, having taken his game to the next level, helping Miami win seven straight games after starting 1-7.

Dolphins at Titans odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 3:35 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Dolphins +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Titans -180 (bet $180 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Dolphins +3.5 (-120) | Titans -3.5 (+100)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 39.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Dolphins at Titans key injuries

Dolphins

  • None

Titans

  • RB Derrick Henry (foot) out

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Dolphins at Titans odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Dolphins 24, Titans 17

Money line

SPRINKLE on the DOLPHINS (+145).

The Titans rank in the top half of the league in opponents’ completion percentage this season, but in their last three games, they haven’t had the same success, ranking in the bottom ten.

Given the play of Tua and the weapons that are finally healthy around him, the Dolphins have the playmakers necessary to move the ball. Similarly, their defense is finally nearing full strength.

Miami having CB Xavien Howard shadow Titans WR A.J. Brown or even having Howard and Dolphins CB Byron Jones trade-off looks at the star receiver should limit his effectiveness. The 6-foot-1 All-Pro Howard will be an X-factor, giving up under a 60% completion rate when targeted.

If Brown’s not the same dominant receiver, Titans QB Ryan Tannehill and the entire offense will struggle, opening up a perfect game for the Dolphins to steal and continue their claim for a playoff spot.

Against the spread

BET on the DOLPHINS +3.5 (-120). The Titans are coming off a huge victory and could be primed for a let-down game. The Titans are 5-3 ATS at home but just 2-3 ATS as home favorites.

Given the Dolphins’ winning streak hasn’t quite shown enough to bring them within a field goal, defeating mainly low-tier opponents, this is still a perfect opportunity to back an ultra-hot Miami side.

Over/Under

BET on the OVER 39.5 (-115).

As it’s the side getting the juice, the sportsbooks clearly like it as well. The last three true playoff contenders that the Dolphins have faced (Bills, Bucs, and Colts), has scored 25 or more points.

Miami even allowed 24 points to the Jets a few weeks ago. Neither team ranks in the top ten in opponents’ total yards as well, so both teams should be able to move the ball with pace.

This is on the lower end of the total side, and with stars on the offensive side, I’d bet on more points in this one.

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