Miami Dolphins at New York Jets odds, picks and predictions

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The Miami Dolphins (8-8) and the New York Jets (4-12) meet Sunday in a Week 18 regular-season finale at MetLife Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Dolphins vs. Jets odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Dolphins are still alive for a postseason spot (+680 to make playoffs at FanDuel Sportsbook). Miami can clinch a Wild Card spot with a win Sunday and a Denver Broncos loss to the Kansas City Chiefs. (Denver is an 11-point home favorite Sunday at BetMGM Sportsbook, as the Chiefs will rest several key starters after clinching the AFC’s No. 1 seed.)

Miami is expected to be without QB Tua Tagovailoa (hip) for a second straight game when it matters most. Officially, he is listed as doubtful, while WR Tyreek Hill (wrist, illness) carries a questionable tag. QB Tyler Huntley is likely to get the start again in Week 18.

The Dolphins topped the lowly Cleveland Browns 20-3 Sunday in Week 17. In the absence of Tagovailoa, Hill linked up with Huntley for 105 yards on 9 receptions and targets.

For the Jets, they’re well out of the postseason mix, and the biggest news in this game is the potential end of the QB Aaron Rodgers era. He isn’t expected to be back in green, and it’s possible this could be his final NFL game.

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Dolphins at Jets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Saturday at 7:50 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Dolphins -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Jets -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
Against the spread: Dolphins +1 (-120) | Jets -1 (+100)
Over/Under (O/U): 39 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Dolphins at Jets key injuries

Dolphins

OT Terron Armstead (knee) questionable
DT Calais Campbell (neck) questionable
WR Dee Eskridge (finger) questionable
S Jevon Holland (wrist) questionable
WR Tyreek Hill (wrist, illness) questionable
QB Tua Tagovailoa (hip) doubtful
WR Jaylen Waddle (knee) questionable
LB Anthony Walker (knee) out

Jets

TE Tyler Conklin (calf) questionable
DT Leki Fotu (knee) doubtful
CB Sauce Gardner (hamstring) out
OT Morgan Moses (knee) questionable
OG Alijah Vera-Tucker (ankle) questionable
NT Quinnen Williams (hamstring) questionable

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Dolphins at Jets picks and predictions

Prediction

Jets 22, Dolphins 19

Moneyline

Backing the Jets (-110) on the moneyline makes no sense, as laying the little bit of points is a much better value.

If you like the Dolphins (-110), however, the ML is better than taking the point.

PASS.

Against the spread

JETS -1 (+100) at even-money is a better play than laying -120 on the ML.

New York has covered 2 of the past 4 games, and this could be it for Rodgers, who is likely to go out with a bang and spoil Miami’s postseason chances in the process.

Over/Under

OVER 39 (-110) is the lean, but only go with a half-unit wager at most. In other words, don’t get carried away.

The biggest reason to look high is the fact these teams combined for 58 points in South Florida in early December. Of course, that was Tagovailoa vs. Rodgers, not Huntley vs. Rodgers. The Miami offense has a much different look with the dual-threat Huntley under center.

The Jets have allowed 25 or more points in 5 of the past 6 games, however, going 5-1 O/U.

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