The Miami Dolphins (10-5) visit the 2020 AFC East champion Buffalo Bills (12-3) Sunday of Week 17 for a 1 p.m. ET kickoff. Below, we preview the Dolphins-Bills betting odds and lines and make our NFL picks and predictions.
Dolphins at Bills: Betting odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:50 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Dolphins +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Bills -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Dolphins +3.5 (-115) | Bills -3.5 (-105)
- Over/Under: 42.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Dolphins at Bills: Game notes
- Miami, currently in the fifth spot of the AFC playoffs, needs a win to clinch a postseason berth OR a Baltimore Ravens loss (to the Cincinnati Bengals), a Cleveland Browns loss (home vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers) or an Indianapolis Colts loss (home vs. Jacksonville Jaguars).
- Buffalo is currently the AFC’s No. 2 seed, which does not come with a bye this season. The Bills can’t catch the Kansas City Chiefs (14-1), but they would slip to No. 3 with a loss AND Steelers’ win.
- The Dolphins, winners of two straight, are coming off a miraculous 26-25 victory at the Las Vegas Raiders in Week 16. Trailing 25-23 with 19 seconds to go, QB Ryan Fitzpatrick, while getting face masked, heaved the ball down the sideline to WR Mack Hollins for a 34-yard pass. The roughing-the-passer penalty moved the ball to the Las Vegas 26-yard line, where after an incomplete pass, PK Jason Sanders kicked a game-winning, 44-yard field goal with 1 second left.
- Fitzpatrick tested positive for COVID-19 and won’t be available Sunday. The veteran QB hasn’t started since Week 12 and entered in relief of Tua Tagovailoa vs. Las Vegas.
- The Bills enter on a five-game win streak beating the New England Patriots 38-9 on the road in the Week 16 Monday Night Football game. QB Josh Allen (320 passing yards, 4 TDs) and WR Stefon Diggs (145 receiving yards, 9 catches) hooked up for 3 touchdowns, and the Bills defense held the Patriots to 201 total yards.
- Buffalo won at Miami 31-28 in Week 2. The Dolphins scored in the final minute for a back-door cover as 5.5-point underdogs. Allen led the Bills with a career-best 415 passing yards and 4 TDs.
- Buffalo has won the last four vs. Miami but only covered twice.
Betting stats:
- ATS: Dolphins 11-4 | Bills 10-5
- O/U: Dolphins 6-9 | Bills 9-5-1
Dolphins at Bills: Key injuries
Dolphins
- WR Jakeem Grant (ankle) questionable
- G Solomon Kindley (knee, foot) questionable
- DE Shaq Lawson (ankle) questionable
- WR DeVante Parker (hamstring) questionable
Bills
- WR Cole Beasley (knee) out
Dolphins at Bills: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Bills 24, Dolphins 14
Money line (?)
The Bills are clicking on all cylinders, but I’ll PASS on the -160 price and opt to lay the points.
Against the spread (?)
BUFFALO -3.5 (-105) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1½ times your usual wager. The Bills are just more talented than the Dolphins. Miami has been playing well, but its last five wins have come against mediocre teams: Las Vegas, New England, the Cincinnati Bengals, the New York Jets and the Los Angeles Chargers.
The fact that snow is expected in Buffalo benefits the Bills. Miami doesn’t do snow. Buffalo’s Allen played college ball at Wyoming, so he’s done that, been there.
Over/Under (?)
The UNDER 42.5 (-110) is worth a HALF-UNIT PLAY. While the Bills have scored at least 30 points in three of their last four contests, the Dolphins lead the NFL in least points allowed at 18.8 per game. The snow forecast helps the Under, too.
Want action on this NFL game? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.
Also see:
- Report: QB Fitzpatrick tests positive for COVID-19 (Dolphins Wire)
- Miami at Buffalo: 8 storylines to watch (Bills Wire)
| Johnny’s 2020-21 NFL record / Strongest plays | 26-25-2 / 12-11-1 |
| 2019-20 NFL record / Strongest plays | 17-10-1 / 7-4 |
| 2021 overall record (all sports) / Strongest plays | 6-1 / 3-0 |
| 2020 overall record (all sports) / Strongest plays | 178-147-4 / 87-61-1 |
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