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The Oklahoma City Thunder (25-5) welcome the Memphis Grizzlies (22-10) to Paycom Center Sunday. Tip is set for 7 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Grizzlies vs. Thunder odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Thunder won 3-0 last season
The Thunder beat the Charlotte Hornets 106-94 Saturday evening, failing to cover as a 13.5-point road favorite. They were led by G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander‘s 22 points. Oklahoma City has ripped off 10 straight regular-season wins, losing the NBA Cup championship game in that stretch as well. The Thunder are 8-2-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last 11 games and 19-8-3 ATS on the season.
The Grizzlies beat the New Orleans Pelicans 132-124 Friday evening, closing as a 7-point road favorite. They were led by F Jaren Jackson Jr., who scored 33 points with 4 made 3s. Memphis has won 4 of its last 5 games and 8 of its last 10, covering in 8 wins. The Grizzlies are 22-10 ATS.
Grizzlies at Thunder odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 10:58 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Grizzlies +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Thunder -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Grizzlies +6.5 (-110) | Thunder -6.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 230.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Grizzlies at Thunder key injuries
Grizzlies
- F Santi Aldama (ankle) out
- F Brandon Clarke (knee) questionable
- G Ja Morant (AC joint) out
- G Marcus Smart (index finger) out
Thunder
(Not yet submitted — below was for Saturday’s game)
- G Alex Caruso (hip) out
- G Luguentz Dort (ankle) out
- C Chet Holmgren (iliac wing) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Grizzlies at Thunder picks and predictions
Prediction
Thunder 119, Grizzlies 110
Moneyline
PASS.
There’s no great value here. The Thunder are too expensive to take, but have been the best team in the Western Conference and should come out on top.
Against the spread
BET THUNDER -6.5 (-110).
Memphis will be short its star in Morant, and its defense has been atrocious, allowing 125 points per game over its last 2 and at least 112 points in 8 of its last 9 contests. Memphis is 2-2 ATS with a spread of 6.5 points or fewer since Dec. 15.
The Thunder have covered in 3 straight games at home. They have thrived defensively as of late, allowing fewer than 100 points in 5 of their last 7 games. Oklahoma City is 8-1-1 ATS in its last 10 regular season games. Considering those trends, play THUNDER -6.5 (-110).
Over/Under
BET UNDER 230.5 (-115).
The Thunder have gone Under in 6 of their last 8 games and have allowed 114 points or fewer in all 8 of those. They have scored more than 106 points in 4 of those 8 as well.
The Grizzlies have been on fire offensively, but against a strong Thunder defense, that might not be the case. Memphis is 3-3 O/U in its last 6 games, having allowed 114 points or fewer in 3 of its last 5 games.
Play UNDER 230.5 (-115).
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