Memphis at USF odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Memphis at USF odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Memphis Tigers (4-1, 0-1 AAC) visit the USF Bulls (2-3, 0-1) Saturday at Raymond James Stadium. Kickoff in the American Athletic Conference game is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Coastal Carolina vs. James Madison odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

This game was originally scheduled to be played Friday, but it was pushed back after Hurricane Milton made landfall on Florida’s Gulf Coast Wednesday night just south of Tampa.

Memphis is coming off a snoozer of a game against Middle Tennessee. It won 24-7 as a 27-point favorite as the Under (61) easily cashed, while Memphis rushed for 186 yards with 227 passing yards. The Tigers allowed just 29 rushing yards on 25 attempts by the Blue Raiders.

After opening the season 3-0 straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS), Memphis lost 56-44 at Navy as a 9-point favorite, before also not covering against MTSU. The Under is 4-1 in 5 games for Memphis, which is a little uncharacteristic.

USF was routed by the Tulane Green Wave last time out, falling 45-10 as a 4-point underdog while the Under (60.5) cashed. The past 2 losses have each been by 35 points. The Under is on a 3-1-1 run in 5 games to date.

– Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll, conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports

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Memphis at USF odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated Friday at 1:01 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Memphis -275 (bet $275 to win $100) | USF +225 (bet $100 to win $225)
  • Against the spread: Memphis -7 (-115) | USF +7 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 60.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Memphis at USF picks and predictions

Prediction

Memphis 36, USF 22

Moneyline

Memphis (-275) will set you back nearly 3 times your potential return, and that’s way too much risk and not enough reward.

USF (+225) has struggled on offense, averaging just 12.5 PPG in the past 2 losses, and 16 or fewer points in 3 of the past 4 outings. The Bulls have definitely not been running well lately, and their heads could be elsewhere after the hurricane ravaged their community, too.

PASS.

Against the spread

MEMPHIS -7 (-115) is a strong play to bounce back after the so-so showing against Middle Tennessee last week.

Again, USF +7 (-105) has been pounded by 35 points against both Miami at home, and Tulane on the road, in the past 2 games, and it has fallen by 26 or more points in 3 of the past 4 contests.

Over/Under

UNDER 60.5 (-110) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play at most.

While USF has scored 16 or fewer points in 3 of the past 4 games, and the Under is 3-1-1, it’s always risky to play low on Memphis. Yes, the Under is 4-1 in the past 5 games for the Tigers, so it seems like a slam-dunk play, but if QB Seth Henigan and the offense gets hot, this is a rather low number.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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