Maryland at Wisconsin odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Maryland at Wisconsin odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Maryland Terrapins (6-2, 3-2 Big Ten) visit the Wisconsin Badgers (4-4, 2-3) Saturday for a noon ET kickoff at Camp Randall Stadium (Big Ten Network). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Maryland vs. Wisconsin odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Maryland is coming off a bye week following a 31-24 home victory vs. Northwestern as a 14-point favorite Oct. 22. Maryland won the turnover battle (2-0), led in time of possession (32:50-27:10) and had more total yards (423-358) than Northwestern. QB Taulia Tagovailoa didn’t play after exiting vs. Indiana with a knee injury the previous week, but he is expected to play vs. Wisconsin. If not, the Terrapins will go with backup QB Billy Edwards Jr., who threw for 166 yards and 1 TD with no picks and ran for 66 yards vs. the Wildcats.

Wisconsin also had last week off after a is a big 35-24 win vs. Purdue as a 1.5-point home favorite Oct. 22. The only major statistical category the Badgers won was turnovers (3-1). They lost time of possession (35:00-25:00), had fewer first downs (21-16) and had fewer total yards (431-381) vs. the Boilermakers. QB Graham Mertz completed 13 of 21 pass attempts for 203 yards and 2 TDs with no INTs.

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Maryland at Wisconsin odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 8:25 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Maryland +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Wisconsin -205 (bet $205 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Maryland +4 (-108) | Wisconsin -4 (-112)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 49.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Maryland at Wisconsin picks and predictions

Prediction

Maryland 28, Wisconsin 24

Moneyline

AVOID.

With Tagovailoa expected to return from his knee injury, I’m not willing to risk a ML play on Maryland (+165) with a chance he’s not 100%. If he is healthy, the Terps should come away with their 3rd win in a row.

Against the spread

BET MARYLAND +4 (108).

Whether Tagovailoa plays or not, this is my BEST BET in this game. The Terrapins are tough opponents and the Badgers have not proven that they should be favored to win this game.

Maryland did lose to Purdue, which Wisconsin just beat, but the Terps nearly upset Michigan, which is among the elites. The Terrapins also defeated Michigan State, which defeated Wisconsin 34-28 in double overtime Oct. 15.

Expect Maryland-Wisconsin to be close — no matter which team wins — and backing the spread is the safest way to bet this game.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 49.5 (-110).

If Tagovailoa plays, the Maryland offense sees a significant jump in production, which would make the Over a decent bet.

Neither of these teams are particularly impressive on either offense or defense, but neither are terrible either. Both have proven that they have the ability to let up 50 points on the defensive end, while also scoring 30+ on the offensive side.

In a game where both teams are so evenly matched, a small OVER 49.5 (-110) wager might be the way to go.

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