The 6th-seeded TCU Horned Frogs (22-12) and No. 3 Gonzaga Bulldogs (29-5) meet Sunday in the second round of the NCAA Tournament. The West Region contest at Ball Arena in Denver is slated to tip off at 9:40 p.m. ET (TBS). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the TCU vs. Gonzaga odds as we make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.
TCU defeated Arizona State 72-70 Friday. The Frogs are looking to win back-to-back games for just the 2nd time since Jan. 24. They shot 35.5% from the floor Friday and have shot just 37.3% over their last 4 games — well below their season average of 45.37% (127th).
Gonzaga is No. 9 in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll. The Bulldogs shot and rebounded their way to an 82-70 win over Grand Canyon Friday, hitting 53.6% from the field and going plus-16 in rebound margin (38-22). The Bulldogs enter on a 10-game win streak.
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TCU vs. Gonzaga odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:10 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: TCU +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Gonzaga -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): TCU +4.5 (-105) | Gonzaga -4.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 156.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)
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TCU vs. Gonzaga picks and predictions
Prediction
Gonzaga 77, TCU 73
Moneyline
No leverage here: LOOK ELSEWHERE.
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Against the spread
TCU’s defense, particularly on the perimeter, will be key against a Bulldogs five hitting 38.9% of its looks from beyond the arc (9th). The Frogs have held foes to a 30.8% mark (32nd). TCU gets a lot of looks in close on offense. Peg the Frogs as possibly keeping this game close down to the wire.
No lean. PASS.
Over/Under
The Under is 4-1 across TCU’s last 5 games and 4-1-1 in its last 6 neutral-site games. It’s also 3-0 in Gonzaga’s last 3 games and 4-1 in its last 5 neutral-site games.
Pace figures point to a high-scoring affair, but this total is a shade too aggressive. The Bulldogs are a great shooting team, but some regression in their numbers could well come due against a TCU defense that has been quite good since mid-season.
The lean is slim toward a partial-unit play on the UNDER 156.5 (-112).
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