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The 11-seed Pittsburgh Panthers (22-11) face off against the 11-seed Mississippi State Bulldogs (21-12) in a First Four game in the NCAA Tournament on Tuesday. Tip from UD Arena in Dayton, Ohio, is scheduled for 9:10 p.m. ET (truTV). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Pittsburgh vs. Mississippi State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.
Pittsburgh was destroyed by Duke 96-69 on Thursday in the quarterfinal round of the ACC Tournament, failing to cover as 5.5-point underdogs. The Panthers went 6-4 in their last 10 games straight up and against the spread (ATS) and are 22-10-1 ATS this season.
Mississippi State was trounced by Alabama 72-49 on Friday in the quarterfinal round of the SEC Tournament, failing to cover as 8-point underdogs. It went 6-4 in its last 10 games. In that span, the Bulldogs were 5-5 ATS and are 16-16-1 ATS this season.
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Pittsburgh vs. Mississippi State odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 9:28 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Pittsburgh +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Mississippi State -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Pittsburgh +1.5 (-108) | Mississippi State -1.5 (-112)
- Over/Under (O/U): 133.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Pittsburgh vs. Mississippi State picks and predictions
Prediction
Pittsburgh 71, Mississippi State 65
Moneyline
BET PITTSBURGH +100.
Mississippi State’s offense is ranked 307th in the nation at 66.4 points per game and 292nd in field goal percentage at(42.3%). Pittsburgh’a defense is ranked 159th allowing 69.7 points per game and 71st in opponent field goal percentage (41.9%).
Expect the Panthers’ defense to overwhelm the Bulldogs’ offense, which only scored 49 points in its last outing.
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Against the spread
PASS.
The moneyline odds present more value on a play on the Panthers in this matchup.
Over/Under
BET OVER 133.5 (-105).
The Over is 8-2 in Pittsburgh’s last 10 games and 7-3 in Mississippi State’s last 10 pointing toward the offensive hot streaks both teams have been on recently.
For the Panthers, the Over is 4-0 in their last 4 neutral site games and 6-1 in their last 7 overall. For the Bulldogs, the Over is 4-0 in their last 4 games following an outright loss and 4-1 in their last 5 games overall.
Bet on points. Bet OVER 133.5 (-105).
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