March Madness: North Carolina vs. Baylor odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s North Carolina vs. Baylor odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions, best bets.

The No. 8 seed North Carolina Tar Heels (25-9) and No. 1 seed Baylor Bears (27-6) meet Saturday for a East Region second-round game of the NCAA Tournament. Tip-off from Dickies Arena in Fort Worth, Texas, is scheduled for 12:10 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the North Carolina vs. Baylor odds and lines, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

The Tar Heels opened with a convincing 95-63 victory against Marquette. UNC hit 46% from the floor while connecting on 14 of its 17 free-throw attempts and turned it over just 10 times.

The Bears thrashed Norfolk State, as expected, cashing as 20.5-point favorites in an 85-49 victory as the Under came in. Baylor is still 3-4-1 ATS across the past eight games overall despite the cover in their opener.

See alsoFerris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports

North Carolina vs. Baylor odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:42 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: North Carolina +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Baylor -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): North Carolina +5.5 (-112) | Baylor -5.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 147.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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North Carolina vs. Baylor odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Baylor 77, North Carolina 73

Money line

Baylor (-250) will get a much better test from North Carolina than it received from Norfolk State. While the defending champs are expected to win, you cannot risk two and a half times your potential return in a close game.

AVOID.

Against the spread

NORTH CAROLINA +5.5 (-112) looked like world-beaters against Marquette in the opening game. The defending champs could be headed home if it plays like that again Saturday. The Tar Heels are 5-1 ATS in the past six games overall. Look for a much closer game for both of these sides than they faced in Round 1.

Over/Under

The OVER 147.5 (-115) is the lean here but only play it lightly.

The Over is 4-1 in the past five games as an underdog for UNC, while going 15-6-1 in the past 22 games overall. The Over has cashed in five of the past nine games for Baylor, too.

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