The 5th-seeded Miami Hurricanes (26-7) battle the 4th-seeded Indiana Hoosiers (23-11) Sunday in the second round of the NCAA Tournament. Tip from MVP Arena in Albany, N.Y., is scheduled for 8:40 p.m. ET (TNT). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Miami vs. Indiana odds as we make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.
Miami took down Drake 63-56 as a 2.5-point favorite in the first round of the tournament Friday. The against-the-spread (ATS) win snapped an 0-4 ATS run. The Hurricanes are 8-2 straight up (SU) and 5-5 ATS in their last 10 games, improving to 19-14 ATS this season.
Indiana beat Kent State 71-60 Friday in the first round, covering as a 4-point favorite. The Hoosiers are 6-4 SU and 4-6 ATS in their last 10 games, slipping to 16-17-1 ATS this season.
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Miami vs. Indiana odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:48 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Miami +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Indiana -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Miami +1.5 (-105) | Indiana -1.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 145.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Miami vs. Indiana picks and predictions
Prediction
Indiana 71, Miami 65
Moneyline
PASS.
This is a very small spread and if Indiana (-130) wins it should cover. I’ll take the better value with a single basket than pay the extra juice on the moneyline.
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Against the spread
LEAN INDIANA -1.5 (-115).
While this will surely be a close matchup, Indiana has the edge.
The Hoosiers are 3-2 ATS this season in neutral site games while the Hurricanes are 2-3 ATS in such games. Indiana is 2-1-1 ATS as a 1-2.5-point favorite while Miami is 1-1 ATS as a 1-2.5-point underdog.
Indiana really shows its edge in Kenpom’s strength of schedule. The Hoosiers rank 11th in the nation while the Hurricanes rank 85th. Despite similar records and seeding, Indiana has had a much more difficult path. Expect the Hoosiers to remain composed throughout which is critical for advancing in March.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 145.5 (-110).
The Under is 6-0 in Miami’s last 6 NCAA Tournament games and 7-2 in its last 9 neutral site games. For Indiana, the Under is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games following an ATS victory. The Under hit in both teams’ first-round games as well.
Both teams rank below 100th overall in tempo in the Kenpom rankings. Expect a slower pace, as neither has been exploding recently. The Under is 3-1 in Miami’s last 4 games and 2-1 in Indiana’s last 3.
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