The 4-seed Florida State Seminoles (16-6) face the 13-seed UNC Greensboro Spartans (21-8) at Bankers Life Fieldhouse in Indianapolis Saturday for a 12:45 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we analyze the Florida State-UNC Greensboro odds and lines, with March Madness NCAA Tournament picks and predictions.
Florida State came up just short in the ACC Tournament final against Georgia Tech, falling 80-75 in a non-cover. They limp into the game with three losses in the past five overall, and they’re just 1-3-1 ATS during the stretch. The Over is 7-2 over the previous nine games for the Seminoles, and the Over is 6-2-1 in their nine games against teams in the NCAA Tournament field.
UNC Greensboro beat all three of its opponents in the Southern Conference tournament by at least eight points, including 69-61 in the final against Mercer. While their overall record is impressive, their strength of schedule was just 114th, and they faced only one NCAA Tournament team. They lost that game to the Winthrop Eagles by a 75-67 count Dec. 1 as six-point favorites.
Florida State vs. UNC Greensboro: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:15 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Florida State -650 (bet $650 to win $100) | UNC Greensboro +475 (bet $100 to win $475)
- Against the spread/ATS: Florida State -10.5 (-110) | UNC Greensboro +10.5 (-110)
- Over/Under: 144.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Florida State vs. UNC Greensboro: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Florida State 79 UNC Greensboro 71
Money line (ML)
Florida State (-650) will cost you six-and-a-half times your potential return, and that’s risky business on a team that has dropped three of its past five games overall. AVOID.
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Against the spread (ATS)
UNC GREENSBORO +10.5 (-110) will hang around in this one. While I don’t think they have the horses to oust Leonard Hamilton’s Florida State -10 (-110) side, the Spartans will keep it to single digits. The Seminoles just haven’t been consistent against the number, going 3-5-2 ATS in the previous 10 overall, including 0-2-2 ATS in the past four against winning teams.
Over/Under (O/U)
OVER 144.5 (-110) is the lean in this one, as the Seminoles are a good 3-point shooting team, and neither side is particularly strong defensively. The Over is also 7-2-1 across the past 10 as a favorite for FSU, while the Over is 5-1 in Greensboro’s past six as an underdog, so the trends are in agreement, too.
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