The Arkansas Razorbacks (23-6) take on the Texas Tech Red Raiders (18-10) in a South Region Second Round game Sunday. The third-seeded Razorbacks and sixth-seeded Raiders will tip-off at 6:10 p.m. ET at Hinkle Fieldhouse in Indianapolis. Below, we analyze the Arkansas-Texas Tech odds and lines, with March Madness NCAA Tournament picks and predictions.
Arkansas brushed away Colgate 85-68 in its First Round contest. The Razorbacks enter Sunday’s tilt having won 10 of their last 11 games. Arkansas sports a fast-tempo style and a tremendous set of per-possession defensive stats.
Texas Tech also plays excellent defense (Big 12-leading 63.0 points per game allowed), but the Red Raiders play at a much slower tempo. TTU went to a regional final in 2018 and the national championship in 2019. The Raiders defeated Utah State 65-53 in their Friday tourney opener.
Arkansas vs. Texas Tech: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:15 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Arkansas +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Texas Tech -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Arkansas +1.5 (-110) | Texas Tech -1.5 (-110)
- Over/Under: 140.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Arkansas vs. Texas Tech: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Arkansas 71, Texas Tech 66
Money line (ML)
Both sides defend well and both can block shots. TTU is especially effective in shutting down the transition game. Arkansas can better defend the area in and around the paint. There are some style clashes, however, that make for some leverage on the Razorbacks’ side of the ledger.
Texas Tech hasn’t found much success against other fives that deliver big-time defensive production. Against top Big-12 defensive teams Kansas, Oklahoma State, Texas, and Baylor (and throw in solid non-conference foe in Abilene Christian), the Raiders are a combined 1-7 ATS.
Sunday’s game is also a fast (UA)-vs.-slow (TTU) clash. Against the three fastest teams in the Big 12, the Raiders are 2-4 ATS. Against the four slowest SEC squads (plus methodical North Texas in the non-SEC slate), the Razorbacks are 4-1 ATS.
TAKE ARKANSAS (+105).
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Against the spread (ATS)
PASS on paying for the point-and-a-half with an ATS play. The UA money-line play is solid.
Over/Under (O/U)
Tournament Arkansas is a 3-0 proposition on the Under. And the Under is 6-2 in the Razorbacks’ last eight games. The tag here is a far cry lower than what UA usually gets, but the UNDER 140.5 (-110) is s small-to-moderate lean.
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