Manchester City (1-0) welcomes Borussia Dortmund (1-0) to Etihad Stadium Wednesday. Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET. Below, we preview Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Manchester City vs. Borussia Dortmund odds, and make our best Champions League bets, picks and predictions.
Manchester City, who won the English Premier League last season, kicked off their Champions League group stage round with a 4-0 win over Sevilla.
Superstar F Erling Haaland, who has 10 goals in 6 games, will be facing his former club, Dortmund. Haaland is the attacking stud with M Kevin de Bruyne still controlling the middle of the pitch.
As for Dortmund, they’ve actually had success in the Bundesliga this season, sitting 5th in the league. They also kicked off their Champions League campaign by toppling Copenhagen 3-0.
Their roster is different without Haaland, but their long-time M Marco Reus is still the leader and has a team-high 2 goals in 6 matches. Dortmund only has 8 goals in those 6 games.
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Manchester City vs. Borussia Dortmund odds
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesdat at 7:22 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Manchester City -520 (bet $520 to win $100) | Borussia Dortmund +1200 (bet $100 to win $1,200) | Draw +650
- Over/Under: 3.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)
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Prediction
Manchester City 2, Borussia Dortmund 0
Money line (ML)
PASS.
Manchester City is the favorite for a reason, and while I believe Dortmund will give them a good, tough match, the home side should prevail. At -520, there’s not much reason to back them.
The only value on the money line is a draw at +650 as City did lose twice in the group stage a season ago and will be vulnerable to a team undoubtedly set to play well with their former teammate on the pitch.
Nonetheless, I’d preferably play the total here.
Over/Under (O/U)
BET UNDER 3.5 (-102).
Most groups in the Champions League have 2 competitive teams and 2 that aren’t quite at the level of the other 2. Dortmund and City are by far the best teams in this group.
Last season City had PSG in their group, and both of those matches went under 3.5 total goals with City having under 2 expected goals in each. Dortmund has only allowed 7 goals in 5 Bundesliga games.
German D Mats Hummels is one of the best centerbacks in the world and should be able to lock down his former teammate. Dortmund has gone under this total in 4 straight matches and in 6 of 8 throughout all competitions.
City has also failed to top 3 expected goals in a competitive match this season. I expect this to be competitive with Dortmund having played well. They should challenge City enough to limit their scoring.
Considering Dortmund’s weakness scoring as well mixed with City having 4 shutouts in 8 matches throughout all competitions, I’ll take the UNDER 3.5 (-102).
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