Los Angeles Dodgers at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

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The Los Angeles Dodgers (89-57) and Seattle Mariners (81-66) meet Saturday for the 2nd game of a 3-game series. First pitch at T-Mobile Park will be at 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Dodgers lead 1-0

Los Angeles took Friday’s series opener 6-3. The road triumph marked just the Dodgers’ 9th in their last 22 games.

With Friday’s setback and a corresponding win by the Toronto Blue Jays, the Mariners enter Saturday a 1/2 game ahead of the Jays for the 3rd-and-final Wild Card slot in the American League.

Dodgers at Mariners projected starters

LHP Clayton Kershaw vs. RHP Bryce Miller

Kershaw (12-4, 2.61 ERA) makes his 22nd start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 through 117 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 5 BB, 3 K in 6-3 road loss vs. Miami Marlins Sept. 5
  • 2023 road stats: 6-3, 3.31 ERA in 65 1/3 IP across 12 starts
  • Career starts vs. Mariners: 4-0, 2.33 ERA in 27 IP across 4 starts
  • Has been aided by a .253 batting average on balls in play (BABIP) and a .212 BABIP in high-leverage situations

Miller (8-5, 4.05 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 through 117 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 9 H, 5 R, 1 BB, 7 K in 6-3 loss at Tampa Bay Rays Sunday
  • 2023 Home stats: 3-3, 4.58 ERA in 53 IP across 10 starts
  • Has never faced the Dodgers
  • Has been dinged by a .404 BABIP with runners in scoring position

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Dodgers at Mariners odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Dodgers -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Mariners +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (+110) | Mariners +1.5 (-135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Dodgers at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 4, Dodgers 3

Moneyline

Kershaw usually pitches well on extra rest, but this rest interval was caused by some shoulder inflammation and a skipped start. The veteran port-sider has allowed some loud contact of late, a fact obscured by a .175 BABIP over his last 4 starts.

The Los Angeles bullpen owns a league-leading 2.43 ERA since Aug. 1, but that number is buoyed by a .245 BABIP.

Miller has been solid in getting the Mariners to their bullpen with games in decent shape most of the time.

BACK THE MARINERS (+125).

Run line/Against the spread

The low total here is justified, and Seattle plays in a lot of 1-run games. The price here is solid for bettors who prefers some Run Line cushion.

TAKE THE MARINERS +1.5 (-135).

Over/Under

PASS. A total near 8 is fair.

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