The Los Angeles Dodgers (26-18) travel up to the Bay Area Friday for a three-game set with long-time rival San Francisco Giants (28-16) at Oracle Park. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Dodgers vs. Giants odds with MLB picks and predictions.
L.A. completed a four-game sweep of the Arizona Diamondbacks, outscoring them 19-6 in the series, and they’ve won eight of its last 10 games.
San Francisco is riding a five-game winning streak, which includes a four-game sweep of the Cincinnati Reds earlier this week, outscoring them 33-9, and are also 8-2 in the past 10 games.
RHP Trevor Bauer is on the rubber for the Dodgers. Bauer is 4-2 with a 2.20 ERA (57 1/3 IP, 14 ER), 0.75 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 12.1 K/9 over nine starts.
- Last outing: Win, 7-0, in 7 IP with 0 ER, 2 H, 0 BB and 10 K Saturday vs. the Miami Marlins.
- Career vs. the Giants: No appearances.
- The Dodgers’ lineup has been surprisingly bad vs. left-handed pitching. For instance, L.A. is 22nd in wRC+, 23rd in both wOBA and OPS. However, the Dodgers have the highest hard-hit rate against lefties and the fifth-lowest home run to fly-ball rate, which indicates that L.A. is just smashing the ball right at fielders or into the longest part of ballparks.
LHP Alex Wood is the projected starter for the Giants. Wood is 5-0 with a 1.75 ERA (36 IP, 7 ER), 0.94 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 over six starts.
- Last outing: Win, 4-1, in 6 IP with 1 ER, 8 H, 1 BB and 6 K Sunday at the Pittsburgh Pirates.
- Career vs. the Dodgers: 2-0 with a 1.93 ERA (23 1/3 IP, 5 ER), 1.20 WHIP and 7.7 K/9 across three starts and two relief appearances (last appearance in 2015).
- Vs. Dodgers on the current roster: 49 at-bats with a .327/.377/.653 slash line, 9/4 K/BB, 4 HR and 8 RBIs.
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Dodgers at Giants odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:45 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Dodgers -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Giants +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
- Against the spread/ATS: Dodgers -1.5 (+140) | Giants +1.5 (-165)
- Over/Under: 7 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Prediction
Dodgers 4, Giants 1
Money line (ML)
GIMME the DODGERS (-125) for 1 unit because Wood is due for some regression back to the mean, and Bauer should come into this game hyped since Dodgers-Giants is a top-3 rivalry in MLB.
There’s not a lot of fat on Wood’s numbers, but he hasn’t exactly pitched against the toughest competition.
Wood’s opponents thus far include the Colorado Rockies (twice), Miami Marlins (twice), Texas Rangers and Pirates.
While Bauer has started against top-notch lineups such as the San Diego Padres (twice) and the Los Angeles Angels.
Also, the Dodgers’ lineup has been surprisingly bad vs. left-handed pitching; L.A. is 22nd in wRC+, 23rd in both wOBA and OPS.
However, the Dodgers have the highest hard-hit rate against lefties, and the fifth-lowest home run to fly-ball rate, which indicates that L.A. is just smashing the ball right at fielders or into the longest part of ballparks.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
PASS. I’m figuring this is a low-scoring affair, and there’s not enough value in the Dodgers -1.5 (+145) given how good the Giants +1.5 (-165) has looked.
Over/Under (O/U)
Slight “LEAN” to the UNDER 7 (-115) for a quarter unit if at all because L.A.’s lineup has several productive hitters out with injury, Wood grades well in several Statcast metrics, and Bauer is one of the best in the biz.
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