The Los Angeles Dodgers (95-43) clash with the San Diego Padres (77-63) Sunday in the finale of a 3-game set at Petco Park. First pitch is set for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Dodgers vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Dodgers lead 11-4
The Dodgers tattooed LHP Blake Snell Saturday for 5 ER on 7 H and 3 BB over 4 IP en route to an 8-4 victory. They’ve now won 3 of their last 4 games and are 20-10 over the last 30 games.
Los Angeles is a dangerous team to bet on because it has very little to play for as it’s 7 games ahead of the New York Mets for home-field advantage in the postseason.
San Diego has a shot to take the series with RHP Joe Musgrove on the rubber. Saturday’s loss snapped a 3-game win streak for the Friars as they slid into the 3rd NL wild-card spot with the loss and trail the Philadelphia Phillies by a half-game for the 2nd spot. They need this game more.
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Dodgers at Padres projected starters
LHP Andrew Heaney vs. RHP Joe Musgrove
Heaney (2-2, 2.94 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 13.5 K/9 in 52 IP.
- Allowed a season-high 6 ER in 5 1/3 IP against the San Francisco Giants Monday in his last start
- Allowed 3 unearned runs over 4 2/3 IP to the Padres Aug. 6.
Musgrove (9-6, 3.16 ERA) makes his 26th start. He has a 1.08 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 153 2/3 IP.
- Struggled to a 5.52 ERA across his last 3 starts
- 1 start against Dodgers this year: 7 IP, 5 H, 3 ER, 1 BB and 10 K on the road June 30
Dodgers at Padres odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:33 a.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Dodgers -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Padres +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (+125) | Padres +1.5 (-155)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)
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Dodgers at Padres picks and predictions
Prediction
Padres 5, Dodgers 4
Money line
The Padres are a solid 28-21 against left-handed starters this year. As mentioned, they need this game more, and Musgrove knows that. He leads the Padres to victory. Take the PADRES (+105).
Run line/Against the spread
I’m not a fan of the juice on San Diego’s side. I do think they’ll get to Heaney, though. He has allowed at least 2 ER in 5 straight starts. So let’s go with PADRES OVER 1.5 TOTAL RUNS FIRST 5 INNINGS (-130). That’s a good price for something that shouldn’t be too tall of an order.
Over/Under
We’ve had 8 runs in both games of the series and in 5 straight matchups with these teams. The Dodgers are 8-1-1 O/U the last 10 games, and the Padres are 8-2. The wind is blowing out to right-center field at 8 mph. There is a 66% chance of rain to keep in mind, though, which is odd for Southern California. Take the OVER 7.5 (-130).
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