The Los Angeles Dodgers (44-29) try to salvage one game of their three-game road set against the San Diego Padres (44-32) Wednesday night. First pitch at Petco Park is set for 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Dodgers vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Trevor Bauer is the projected starting pitcher for the Dodgers. He is 7-5 with a 2.45 ERA, 0.94 WHIP, 11.2 K/9 and 3.0 BB/9 through 95 2/3 IP spanning 15 starts.
Bauer pitched 7 scoreless innings in his last outing. In his three starts prior, his ERA was 4.74, with at least 3 earned runs in each of those games.
RHP Joe Musgrove is the projected starting pitcher for the Padres. He is 4-6 with a 2.28 ERA, 0.85 WHIP, 11.2 K/9 and 1.9 BB/9 across 79 IP over 13 starts and one relief appearance.
He allowed either 1 or 0 earned runs in nine of his 13 starts. He has not earned a win since May 19.
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Dodgers at Padres odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 2 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Dodgers -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Padres -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Dodgers -1.5 (+165) | Padres +1.5 (-200)
- Over/Under: 7 (O: -120 | U: +100)
Prediction
Padres 4, Dodgers 2
Money line (ML)
The Dodgers are 3-6 against San Diego this season and are trying to avoid a series sweep Wednesday. They are only 7-8 with Bauer on the mound and 3-7 in his road starts.
Musgrove pitched 7 scoreless innings in his last outing after two consecutive starts of allowing 3 earned runs. He has had no fewer than four consecutive starts with 2 or fewer earned runs, so he should be on his game tonight.
Take the PADRES (-115).
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The Dodgers failed to cover the spread in their last three games and are 2-4 ATS in their last six. They are 16-22 ATS on the road.
The Padres are 40-36 ATS this season and covered the spread in five of their last six games. They covered the spread in each of their last seven games against the Dodgers.
Back the PADRES +1.5 (-200).
Over/Under (O/U)
Only 43.9% of the games at Petco Park have gone Over the projected total this season.
Only three of the Dodgers’ last nine games hit the Over. Eleven of Bauer’s 15 starts have had totals of 7 or fewer earned runs.
Six of the last eight games for the Padres went Over the projected total but with two pitchers with ERAs in the low 2s, don’t expect a lot of offense.
Take UNDER 7 (+100).
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