The Los Angeles Dodgers (44-27) and San Diego Padres (42-32) play the first game of a three-game set Monday with a 10:10 p.m. ET first pitch at Petco Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Dodgers vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.
LHP Julio Urias is the projected starting pitcher for the Dodgers. He is 9-2 with a 3.54 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 9.6 K/9 and 1.4 BB/9 in 84 IP over 14 starts.
Urias is 2-0 with a 3.24 ERA in three starts in the month of June with two road victories. The Dodgers have won six of his last seven appearances while he is 5-1 during that span. This is his first start against the Padres in 2021.
RHP Yu Darvish is the projected starting pitcher for the Padres. He is 6-2 with a 2.57 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, 10.4 K/9 and 2.3 BB/9 in 84 IP over 14 starts.
Darvish allowed 4 ER on 6 H and 2 BB with 5 K over 5 IP last time out in a no-decision Tuesday at Colorado. More importantly, he is 1-1 with a 1.29 ERA in 14 innings across two starts this year against the Dodgers.
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Dodgers at Padres odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:15 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Dodgers +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Padres -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Dodgers +1.5 (-210) | Padres -1.5 (+170)
- Over/Under: 6.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)
Prediction
Padres 3, Dodgers 1
Money line (ML)
PADRES (-125) are the “lean” here in a very good pitching matchup. While both of Darvish’s losses have come at home this season he also has an impressive 2.25 ERA in 56 innings across nine starts at Petco.
One of those losses came against the Dodgers, although he allowed just 1 ER and 1 H across 7 IP with 9 K in a 2-0 setback.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The PADRES -1.5 (+170) are worth a look on the run line behind Darvish. Urias is 6-1 with a 2.72 ERA in seven road outings this season, so it won’t be easy. However, San Diego is an impressive 25-14 at home and the “lean” here.
Over/Under (O/U)
The UNDER 6.5 (+100) is the “lean” at even money, although go lightly with this low number. Still, Urias hasn’t been giving up much, and Darvish has owned his former club this season.
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