The Los Angeles Dodgers (68-45) and Philadelphia Phillies (59-54) tangle in the middle contest of a three-game series Wednesday at 7:05 p.m. ET at Citizens Bank Park. Let’s analyze the lines around the Dodgers vs. Phillies odds with MLB picks and predictions.
LHP David Price is the projected starting pitcher for the Dodgers. Through 29 games (eight starts), he is 4-1 with a 3.53 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, 8.1 K/9 and 2.5 BB/9 across 51 IP.
- Draws a Philadelphia nine which has been crushing left-handers over recent weeks with a .869 OPS in the second half.
- Didn’t allow a home run from April 13-July 18. Has allowed 4 HR in 16 1/3 IP since.
RHP Kyle Gibson is the projected starter for the Phillies. He is 8-3 with a 2.79 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 7.3 K/9 and 3.4 BB/9 through 125 2/3 IP over 21 starts.
- Came to the Phils in a deadline deal with the Texas Rangers. Is 2-0 with a 2.13 ERA since.
- Walked 4 batters in his last start and walked a total of 14 batters over his last 18 2/3 IP across three starts.
Dodgers at Phillies odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:50 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Dodgers -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Phillies +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
- Against the spread/ATS: Dodgers -1.5 (+110) | Phillies +1.5 (-135)
- Over/Under: 10.5 (O: -102 | U: -122)
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Prediction
Dodgers 7, Phillies 4
Money line (ML)
The Phillies came into this series on an eight-game winning streak. Philadelphia has been hitting the ball hard of late with a .814 OPS over its last 12 games and is a strong team at home at 34-22.
However, the Dodgers took Tuesday’s opener 5-0 for their straight win.
Because of an oddity like the Dodgers being seven games under .500 in 1-run games (13-20), Los Angeles’ overall record is a poor gauge of the club’s talent. Looking at metrics like expected ERA-vs.-ERA, there is some fade to both sides of the Philly pitching (starter, bullpen) in Wednesday’s game.
Still, it’s difficult to not overpay for L.A. on the money line. Don’t do it here: PASS.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
Price has a good history against current Philadelphia batters with a .701 OPS allowed and Dodger batters have a good history against Gibson with a 1.052 OPS. Each of L.A.’s last seven wins was by multiple runs.
BACK THE DODGERS -1.5 (+110).
Over/Under (O/U)
Fading both starters makes sense here, but there are some cross signals that play the other way also. Overall, there is a marginal push for the OVER 10.5 (-102) on a hot, humid, wind-out day in Philly.
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