The Los Angeles Dodgers (66-46) and Arizona Diamondbacks (57-57) wrap up a 2-game set Wednesday at Chase Field. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Diamondbacks lead 5-4
The Dodgers won 5-4 as -143 favorites in the series opener Tuesday. Los Angeles has won 7 of its last 8 and has a 5-game lead over the 2nd-place San Francisco Giants in the NL West.
The Diamondbacks have dropped 7 straight contests after Tuesday’s loss, including 3 at the Minnesota Twins over the weekend and the final 3 of 4 at the Giants. Arizona has lost 23 of its last 30 but is still just 2 games back in the NL Wild Card race.
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Dodgers at Diamondbacks projected starters
RHP Bobby Miller vs. RHP Merrill Kelly
Miller (6-2, 4.26 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 63 1/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 3 2/3 IP, 2 R (1 ER), 6 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 10-5 victory at San Diego Padres Friday
- 2023 road stats: 4-0, 2.61 ERA (31 IP, 9 ER) in 6 starts
- Never faced Diamondbacks before
Kelly (9-5, 3.21 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 in 112 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 9 K in 3-2 loss at Twins Friday
- 2023 home stats: 3-4, 3.60 ERA (60 IP, 24 ER) in 10 starts
- Career vs. Dodgers: 0-10, 5.45 ERA (72 2/3 IP, 44 ER), 1.64 WHIP in 14 starts
- 2023 vs. Dodgers: 0-1, 1.93 ERA (9 1/3 IP, 2 ER) in 2 starts – Most recent: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 4 R (2 ER), 6 H, 4 BB, 4 K in 5-2 home loss April 6
Dodgers at Diamondbacks odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:37 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Dodgers -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (+125) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-150)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -120 | U: +100)
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Dodgers at Diamondbacks picks and predictions
Prediction
Dodgers 5, Diamondbacks 4
Moneyline
Arizona was in 1st place in the NL West on July 8 but has now fallen to 10 games behind the Dodgers in the division. Los Angeles has been the much better side lately and I see no reason to trust this Diamondbacks team.
Arizona has not scored more than 4 runs in a game since July 26. Meanwhile, the Dodgers are averaging an MLB-best 8.67 runs over their last 3.
BET DODGERS (-130).
Run line/Against the spread
The Diamondbacks had to put up 2 runs in the 9th inning to get the backdoor cover Tuesday. While Arizona +1.5 (-155) will likely hit again, there’s no need to pay the higher price on the run line when Los Angeles ML is the better play.
PASS. Bet the moneyline and/or the total instead.
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Over/Under
The Over is 37-18-3 (67.3%) this season in Dodgers road games. While Arizona will likely score fewer than 5 runs, Los Angeles’ offense should be able to do most of the heavy lifting in this one and at least get the total to push.
LEAN OVER 9 (-120).
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