The Los Angeles Dodgers (65-46) and Arizona Diamondbacks (57-56) open a 2-game set Tuesday at Chase Field. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Diamondbacks lead 5-3
The Dodgers won 13-7 as +128 underdogs at the San Diego Padres Monday, taking 3 of 4 in the wrap-around series. Los Angeles has won 6 of its last 7 and has a 4-game lead over the 2nd-place San Francisco Giants in the NL West.
The Diamondbacks lost 5-3 as -149 favorites at the Minnesota Twins Sunday. Arizona has lost 6 straight contests — 3 at the Twins and 3 at the final 3 of 4 at the Giants — and is 2 games behind the Cincinnati Reds for the final NL Wild Card spot.
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Dodgers at Diamondbacks projected starters
LHP Julio Urías vs. RHP Brandon Pfaadt
Urías (8-6, 4.69 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 86 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 5 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 8-2 home victory vs. Oakland Athletics Thursday
- 2023 road stats: 2-5, 7.88 ERA (37 2/3 IP, 33 ER) in 8 starts
- Career vs. Diamondbacks: 8-1, 1.55 ERA (58 IP, 10 ER), 0.78 WHIP in 9 starts and 3 relief appearances
- 2023 vs. Diamondbacks: 1-0, 3.00 ERA (6 IP, 2 ER), 4 H, 0 BB, 6 K in 1 start, an 8-2 home victory March 30 (Opening Day)
Pfaadt (0-5, 7.11 ERA) makes his 10th start. The rookie has a 1.44 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 in 44 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 7 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 1-0 loss at Giants Thursday
- 2023 home stats: 0-3, 8.86 ERA (21 1/3 IP, 21 ER) in 5 starts
- Never faced Dodgers before
Dodgers at Diamondbacks odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:36 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Dodgers -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (+100) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-120)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -120 | U: +100)
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Dodgers at Diamondbacks picks and predictions
Prediction
Dodgers 7, Diamondbacks 4
Moneyline
Los Angeles (-160) should win for the 7th time in 8 games, but there’s no need to pay the higher price on the moneyline when the Dodgers should win by multiple runs.
PASS. Bet the run line and/or the total instead.
Run line/Against the spread
The Diamondbacks have not been playing a lot of close games lately, and 19 of their last 23 losses have been by multiple runs.
The Dodgers are 35-22 on the run line in road games this season — 4th best in the majors — and should have no trouble scoring runs against an inexperienced pitcher in Pfaadt.
BET DODGERS -1.5 (+100).
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Over/Under
Urías has struggled on the road this season, while Pfaadt has allowed 5 or more earned runs in 3 of his 5 career starts at Chase Field.
The Over is 24-11-2 (68.6%) this season when the Dodgers are road favorites and 8-5 when the Diamondbacks are coming off 1 day of rest.
BET OVER 9 (-120).
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