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The Los Angeles Dodgers (19-13) take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (14-17) Wednesday in the finale of a 3-game set at Chase Field at 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 1-1
The Dodgers took a 3-2 lead in the 10th Tuesday night but gave up a walkoff homer in the bottom half. They mustered just 5 hits in the 4-3 loss. The Dodgers are 7-3 over the last 10. SS Mookie Betts has gone 0 for 6 in the series. He’s hitting .368 with 18 extra-base hits, 29 R and 23 RBIs, which is why that mini-slump is even relevant.
1B Christian Walker sent the home crowd home happy with a 2-run walkoff homer. He’s starting to turn it up, hitting .283 with 7 HR and 22 RBIs on the season. The D-Backs have won 2 of 3 after a tough 4-6 road trip.
Dodgers at Diamondbacks projected starters
RHP Yoshinobu Yamamoto vs. LHP Jordan Montgomery
Yamamoto (2-1, 3.54 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 11.9 K/9 in 28 IP.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 7 K against Washington Nationals Thursday
- Utilizing his splitter more (27.2%), and it has rendered a .088 OBA
- Has 37 K’s to just 6 BB on the season
Montgomery (1-1, 2.77 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 0.93 WHIP, 0.7 BB/9 and 4.8 K/9 in 13 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 7 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 4 K vs. St. Louis Cardinals last Wednesday; he threw 5 shutout IP in that start before faltering
- 2 career starts vs. Dodgers: 0-2, 5.91 ERA, 1.41 WHIP, 10 K in 10 2/3 IP
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Dodgers at Diamondbacks odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:10 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Dodgers -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (+120) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-145)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)
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Dodgers at Diamondbacks picks and predictions
Prediction
Dodgers 5, Diamondbacks 3
Moneyline
Yamamoto has been filthy, and we’re going with the Dodgers here. However, the rule of the thumb with the Dodgers is to go with the RL (see below for the angle).
Instead of paying -140, let’s go with YOSHINOBU YAMAMOTO OVER 5.5 K’S (+110). The D-Backs are hard to whiff, but we’re betting on Yamamoto’s stuff here. He has 7, 9, 6 and 8 K’s in his last 4 GS.
Run line/Against the spread
Of the Dodgers’ 19 wins, only 4 of them have been by a single run.
Take the DODGERS -1.5 (+120) and plan on using this rule of thumb fairly often when you can get it at least at even money.
Over/Under
We’re expecting it to be around 86 degrees Wednesday night with a straight-line wind from left to right field at 7 mph. The D-Backs are 3-6-1 O/U over their last 10, and the Dodgers are 5-5. The Over is just 4-6 in the last 10 head-to-heads as well.
Take the UNDER 9 (-120).
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