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The Los Angeles Dodgers (18-12) open a 3-game road series against the Arizona Diamondbacks (13-16) Monday night. First pitch for the opener is at 9:40 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting of 2024, Tied 8-8 (including postseason) in 2023.
The Dodgers had a 6-game winning streak snapped Sunday in a 3-1 road loss to Toronto. Starter Michael Grove allowed a 3-run 2nd inning and the offense only had 6 hits and a run.
The Diamondbacks salvaged 1 game of their series on the road against Seattle, winning the finale 3-2 behind starter Brandon Pfaadt’s career-high 11 strikeouts. The win snapped a 3-game skid.
Dodgers at Diamondbacks projected starters
LHP James Paxton vs. LHP Tommy Henry
Paxton (2-0, 2.61 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.55 WHIP, 7.4 BB/9 and 4.8 K/9 through 20 2/3 IP.
- Last start: No decision, 4 2/3 IP, 1 R, 5 H, 3 BB, 1 K in 4-1 road win over Washington Tuesday
- Making 1st career appearance vs, Arizona
Henry (1-1, 5.55 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.60 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 through 24 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 6 IP, 1 R, 5 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 14-1 road win over St. Louis Tuesday
- Making 1st career appearance vs. Dodgers
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Dodgers at Diamondbacks odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:10 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Dodgers -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (+110) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-135)
- Over/Under (O/U): 10 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Dodgers at Diamondbacks picks and predictions
Prediction
Dodgers 5, Diamondbacks 2
Moneyline
The Dodgers have held opponents to 3 or fewer runs in 7 straight games and in 9 of their last 11.
The Diamondbacks have been held to 3 or fewer runs in 4 straight games and in 8 of last 11. They are 2-10 in games in which they score 3 or fewer runs, picking up their 2nd such win on Sunday.
But the Dodgers usually win by more than 1 run when they win, so because I like them to win the opener, it’s better to go with the plus-odds on the run line.
PASS.
Run line/Against the spread
Of the Dodgers’ 18 wins, 14 have been by 2 or more runs.
The Diamondbacks’ last 7 losses and 12 of their 16 losses all season have been by 2 or more runs.
BET DODGERS -1.5 (+110).
Over/Under
Four of Henry’s 5 starts this season have had more than 10 total runs. But the Diamondbacks have had 4 consecutive games without surpassing 10 total runs and 9 of their last 11 game have not reached 11 runs.
Six of the Dodgers’ last 8 games have stayed below 11 runs.
BET UNDER 10 (-105).
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