Los Angeles Clippers at Toronto Raptors odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Los Angeles Clippers at Toronto Raptors and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Los Angeles Clippers (18-17) square off with the Toronto Raptors (14-17) Friday at the Scotiabank Arena. The tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Clippers vs. Raptors odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Toronto has lost back-to-back games at the Cleveland Cavaliers 144-99 Sunday and to the Philadelphia 76ers 114-109 Tuesday.

Over the past two weeks, the Raptors are 1-2 straight-up (SU), 2-1 ATS, and 3-0 O/U with the 23rd-ranked adjusted net rating at -4.5 points per 100 possessions, according to CleaningTheGlass.com. A couple of Toronto games were postponed due to COVID from Dec. 18-26.

L.A. broke its two-game losing streak Wednesday by beating the Boston Celtics 91-82 as 6-point road underdogs.

The Clippers are 2-4 SU, 3-3 ATS, and 1-5 O/U in the last 14 days with the 22nd-ranked adjusted net rating at -3.9 points per 100 possessions (CTG).

Clippers at Raptors odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:50 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Clippers +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Raptors -280 (bet $280 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Clippers +6.5 (-112) | Raptors -6.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 210.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Clippers at Raptors key injuries

Clippers

  • PG Reggie Jackson (reconditioning) questionable
  • SF Paul George (elbow) out
  • Ivica Zubac (health and safety protocols) out
  • SF Nicolas Batum (ankle) out

Raptors

  • Precious Achiuwa (reconditioning) probable
  • Khem Birch (reconditioning) probable

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Clippers at Raptors odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Raptors 112, Clippers 101

Money line

PASS because I like Toronto enough to just lay the points and would never bet as NBA regular-season money line favorite as high as the Raptors (-280).

Against the spread

BET 1 unit on the RAPTORS -6.5 (-110) because they have several starters returning from the COVID list such as PG Fred VanVleet, SFs Scottie Barnes and OG Anunoby.

VanVleet is in the 100th percentile of point guards in on/off net rating at plus-21.4 points per 100 possessions, Anunoby grades in the 70th percentile of forwards and Barnes in the 60th percentile of forwards.

Toronto has a couple of strength-on-weakness edges in its favor such as ball security and rebounding. For instance, the Raptors are second in both defensive turnover rate and offensive rebounding rate. While the Clippers rank 23rd in offensive turnover rate and 26th in defensive rebounding rate.

Furthermore, Toronto is either first or second in fastbreak points, second-chance points and points off of turnovers per game. On the other hand, L.A. ranks 22nd or worse in all three of those metrics.

BET the RAPTORS -6.5 (-110).

Over/Under

Slight “LEAN” to the OVER 210.5 (-107) for a small wager, if at all, because I prefer Toronto’s spread more so than the total in this game.

That said, the Raptors like to force turnovers that lead to fastbreak points and the Clippers can be clumsy with the ball and all give up the seventh-most fastbreak points per game. Also, Toronto has played to the Over at the highest rate in the NBA and has gone Over the total for the past five games.

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