The Los Angeles Angels (38-41) and New York Yankees (41-38) continue a four-game series Wednesday with a 7:05 p.m. ET first pitch at Yankee Stadium. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Angels vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Shohei Ohtani is the projected starting pitcher for the Angels. He is 3-1 with a 2.58 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 12.4 K/9, and 4.7 BB/9 in 59 1/3 IP over 11 starts.
Ohtani is on an ultra-consistent roll and has improved his walk and strikeout indicators as the season has progressed. Against a good-hitting Giants club in his last start, the two-way sensation got 21 swings and misses in 6 innings. Over his last 4 starts, Ohtani has logged an impressive 15.4% swinging-strike rate.
RHP Domingo German is the projected starting pitcher for the Yankees. German is 4-5 with a 4.32 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 8.1 K/9, and 2.0 BB/9 in 73 IP over 14 starts.
The Yankee righty has seen his production fall off since May. Dwindling control and ground-ball figures have accompanied a Boeing ERA (7.04) over his last five starts. German does own a decent line at Yankee Stadium since 2019 where he’s logged a 3.11 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in 98 1/3 IP.
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Angels at Yankees odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:01 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Angels +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Yankees -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Angels +1.5 (-165) | Yankees -1.5 (+135)
- Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Prediction
Yankees 6, Angels 5
Money line (ML)
The Yanks and Halos split the first two games of the series, with Los Angeles winning Monday and New York answering Tuesday.
Los Angeles is 17-22 with a minus-55 run differential in road games. Ohtani is certainly an equalizer but he’s pitching in front of a bottom-third bullpen and doesn’t often go past 6 innings. His normal length could be compromised a bit in this one after registering a season-high 107 pitches in his last outing (he averages 84 pitches per game). Furthermore, the best arms in the Angels ‘pen are further along on the fatigue-meter than their counterparts backing up German.
With all that noted, the prices here look to be dialed in. BACK THE YANKEES (-145), but on a slim lean at best.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
PASS. While the lean is on the home nine the tags here leave no wiggle room for profit.
Over/Under (O/U)
On what figures as a warm night with a hitter’s breeze, and with the Ohtani/Angels bullpen fade and Domingo German having a home run problem when he’s off TAKE THE OVER 9.5 (-115).
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