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The Los Angeles Angels (18-29) and Houston Astros (21-26) open a 3-game series Monday. First pitch from Minute Maid Park is at 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Angels vs. Astros odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: First meeting; Astros won 9-4 in 2023
The Angels are 3-1 over their last 4 and won their 3-game weekend series at the Texas Rangers, beating them 4-1 in Sunday’s finale.
The Astros took 2 of 3 games against the Milwaukee Brewers with a 9-4 home win Sunday. They have won 7 of their last 8 games and are 9-2 in their last 11.
Angels at Astros projected starters
LHP Reid Detmers vs. LHP Framber Valdez
Detmers (3-4, 5.19 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 in 50 1/3 innings.
- Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 4 ER (5 R), 8 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 7-6 home loss to St. Louis Tuesday
- 0-4 with an 8.46 ERA in last 5 starts
Valdez (3-1, 2.95 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 7.6 K/9 in 36 2/3 innings.
- Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 R, 2 H, 2 BB, 8 K in 3-0 home win over Oakland Wednesday
- Allowed 2 or fewer runs in 4 of last 5 starts
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Angels at Astros odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:40 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Angels +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Astros -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Angels +1.5 (-120) | Astros -1.5 (+100)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Angels at Astros picks and predictions
Prediction
Astros 6, Angels 3
Moneyline
The Angels have lost Detmer’s last 5 starts. Their 3-1 stretch over the last 4 games is the best of their season since winning 4 in a row March 31-April 3.
The Astros are 6-1 on the current homestand and 7-1 in their last 8. They have won 3 of Valdez’s last 4 outings.
The pitching matchup is overwhelmingly in favor of Houston, but betting the Astros at -200 isn’t worth the action.
PASS.
Run line/Against the spread
Six of the Astros’ last 8 wins have been by more than 1 run, and 17 of their 21 have been by 2 or more.
Three of the Angels’ last 4 losses have been by only 1 run. Four of the last 5 outings for Detmer have been losses by multiple runs, and 21 of L.A.’s 29 wins have also been by 2 or more.
BET ASTROS -1.5 (+100).
Over/Under
The last 3 starts for Valdez, and 4 of the last 5, have had totals of fewer than 9 runs. But 6 of the last 9 games for the Astros have had 9 or more total runs.
Eight of the Angels’ last 12 games and 3 of Detmer’s last 4 starts have had totals of 9 or more runs.
BET OVER 8.5 (-110).
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