The Los Angeles Angels (7-8) and Boston Red Sox (8-8) meet Monday morning to finish off their 4-game series on Boston Marathon day. First pitch at Fenway Park is 11 a.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Angels vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Red Sox lead 3-0.
Boston won 2-1 as -113 home favorites vs. Los Angeles on Sunday and look to complete the sweep of the Angels. The 3-game winning streak follows 4 straight losses to the Tampa Bay Rays. The Red Sox are 3rd in the MLB in runs scored while ranking 8th with the fewest strikeouts.
The Angels’ 3-game losing streak comes after winning back-to-back games vs. the Washington Nationals. The bats for Los Angeles have not been up to par so far this season, as they have fewer hits (120), runs (76) and home runs (18) than the Red Sox (127 H 87 R, 21 HR).
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Angels at Red Sox projected starters
RHP Shohei Ohtani vs. RHP Brayan Bello
Ohtani (2-0, 0.47 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 0.95 WHIP, 5.7 BB/9 and 11.4 K/9 in 19 IP.
- Went 15-9 in 28 starts in 2022 with a 2.33 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 11.4 K/9 in 166 IP
- Last start vs. Boston: 5-2 LA win June 9 with 7 IP, 6 H, 2 BB, 6 K
Bello makes his 1st start this season. He went 2-11 in 13 appearances (11 starts) last season with a 4.71 ERA, 1.78 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9, and 8.6 K/9 in 57 1/3 IP.
- Was 1-4 with a 4.13 ERA in 11 home appearances last year (5 starts) allowing 13 ER, 34 H, 11 BB and 26 K in 28 1/3 IP
- 1st time facing the Angels
Angels at Red Sox odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:34 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Angels -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Red Sox +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Angels -1.5 (+100) | Red Sox +1.5 (-120)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Angels at Red Sox picks and predictions
Prediction
Angels 4, Red Sox 3
Moneyline
LEAN ANGELS (-165).
The Angels are only 1-5 in the last 6 meetings overall, but the pitching matchup here is key. Ohtani has not yet lost and with this being Bello’s first start since last Oct. 1, the Angels have a big advantage. Bello was also bad at home last year, increasing the advantage for LA.
Run line/Against the spread
LEAN RED SOX +1.5 (-120).
Only 4 of the last 10 meetings have come within 1 run, but with Boston being so hot against the Angels right now this is a pretty safe bet. The Angels do have the advantage in this game, but Boston has dominated LA this season. They bare also 5-0 in their last 5 games on grass.
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Over/Under
BET UNDER 8.5 (-105).
For Los Angeles the Under is 6-0-1 in Ohtani’s last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing road record and 6-0-1 in his last 7 starts following a quality start in his previous appearance. For Boston the Under is 7-1 in Bello’s last 8 starts overall. The Under is also 10-4-2 in the last 16 matchups.
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